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TPV v KPV-j

TPV
4–0Full time
KPV-j

Ykkönen · SAT 10 OCT · Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33
TPV 4–0 KPV-j TPV WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said TPV win56%
The market said53%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.286
The market’s Brier score0.336

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

TPV win56%
Draw20%
KPV-j win23%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

Venue · Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

TPV

Formation not confirmed

5 K. Koskenniemi

16 V. Anttila

19 M. Akbal

20 L. Jadama

22 J. Venemies

23 M. Syrjala

24 O. Rattari

26 S. Pitkakoski

27 T. Toijala

33 K. Kylen

34 S. Sipila

Coach · Sebastian Bowles

Substitutes

2 · A. Rantanen

10 · A. Dos Santos

12 · N. Pienmunne

13 · V. Puustinen

15 · E. Bullock

18 · E. Riikonen

25 · J. Mattila

30 · M. Asikainen

31 · O. Kykyri

KPV-j

Formation not confirmed

3 D. Madut

4 E. Vesala

7 P. Kytolaakso

8 V. Valipakka

9 W. Wegye

10 J. Adarkwa

11 N. Santalo

13 O. Moilanen

20 J. Maenpaa

45 A. Arope

99 F. Enqvist

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · P. Kytolaakso

6 · M. Aberg

14 · V. Akerblom

16 · A. Vesa

18 · L. Kykyri

26 · P. Pensaari

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

TPV

Formation not confirmed

5 K. Koskenniemi

16 V. Anttila

19 M. Akbal

20 L. Jadama

22 J. Venemies

23 M. Syrjala

24 O. Rattari

26 S. Pitkakoski

27 T. Toijala

33 K. Kylen

34 S. Sipila

Coach · Sebastian Bowles

Substitutes

2 · A. Rantanen

10 · A. Dos Santos

12 · N. Pienmunne

13 · V. Puustinen

15 · E. Bullock

18 · E. Riikonen

25 · J. Mattila

30 · M. Asikainen

31 · O. Kykyri

KPV-j

Formation not confirmed

3 D. Madut

4 E. Vesala

7 P. Kytolaakso

8 V. Valipakka

9 W. Wegye

10 J. Adarkwa

11 N. Santalo

13 O. Moilanen

20 J. Maenpaa

45 A. Arope

99 F. Enqvist

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · P. Kytolaakso

6 · M. Aberg

14 · V. Akerblom

16 · A. Vesa

18 · L. Kykyri

26 · P. Pensaari

Our number · tpv winPublished 10 Oct 17:01
56% The market53%
Us56%
Market53%

We make TPV a 56% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–1.3.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60%65% 9 OCT 06:1810 OCT 14:20
Our probability · tpv win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 53% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
TPV win56%53%+4
Draw20%22%−1
KPV-j win23%26%−2
Over 2.5 goals68%74%−6
Both teams to score65%73%−7
Over 1.5 goals87%88%−2
Over 3.5 goals47%55%−8
TPV or draw77%74%+2
TPV clean sheet26%––
KPV-j clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.1%
0123450 3.2 3.9 2.7 1 6.3 8.7 5.7 2.6 2 6.9 9.1 6.1 2.8 3 5.1 6.6 4.4 2.0 4 2.8 3.7 2.5 5
under 2% 5% 12%+TPV down, KPV-j across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2026
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsKPV 1–3 TPV · TPV 0–0 KPV

Form · last six in Ykkönen

TPV

DWLWLL1–1 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 4–2 · 0–3 · 1–3

KPV-J

WLLLWL3–2 · 2–4 · 1–4 · 0–3 · 3–2 · 0–2

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Tampere United25+3250
2Rops25+1544
3SalPa25+742
4OLS25+1341
5VJS25+1240
6FC jazz25+639
7PKKU25+838
8JJK25+231
9TPV25−1327
10Inter Turku II25−1426
11KPV-j25−4818
12KuPS Akatemia25−2015

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.