

FC jazz v KuPS Akatemia
FC jazz
KuPS AkatemiaYkkönen · SUN 18 OCT · Porin Stadion
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said FC jazz win at 58%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: FC jazz 58% before kick-off, 58% now. 0–0 · 58–20–22
- 1′KICK-OFF FC jazz v KuPS Akatemia
- 3′🟨 YELLOW · 2' FC jazz
- 13′PENALTY MISSED · 13' KuPS Akatemia
- 15′A goal for KuPS Akatemia on 14′. 0–0 · 55–22–23
- 15′We said FC jazz at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 0–1 · 33–23–45
- 15′⚽ GOAL · 14' FC jazz 0–1 KuPS Akatemia
- 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 15' FC jazz win: 58% at kick-off, 33% now
- 15′THE CALL SWINGS · 15' KuPS Akatemia win is now our likeliest result at 45% (was FC jazz win 33%)
- 25′We said FC jazz at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–24–47
- 26′FC jazz find the net on 26′. 0–1 · 29–24–47
- 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' FC jazz 1–1 KuPS Akatemia
- 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' FC jazz win: 58% at kick-off, 53% now
- 26′THE CALL SWINGS · 26' FC jazz win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was KuPS Akatemia win 23%)
- 39′The goal count is tracking the 3.8 we expected. 1–1 · 49–28–23
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' FC jazz win: 58% at kick-off, 48% now
- 45′HALF-TIME FC jazz 1–1 KuPS Akatemia
- 45′SECOND HALF FC jazz 1–1 KuPS Akatemia
- 47′We said FC jazz at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 46%. 1–1 · 46–32–22
- 47′🟨 YELLOW · 47' FC jazz
- 51′We said FC jazz at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–34–22
- 61′We said FC jazz at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–41–20
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' FC jazz win: 58% at kick-off, 38% now
- 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was FC jazz win 38%)
- 67′We said FC jazz at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 2–1 · 82–15–3
- 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' FC jazz 2–1 KuPS Akatemia
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' FC jazz win: 58% at kick-off, 82% now
- 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' FC jazz win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 15%)
- 68′FC jazz find the net on 67′. 2–1. 2–1 · 82–15–3
- 69′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.8 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 33–50–18
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 63' KuPS Akatemia · On: R. Tikkanen · Off: L. Paasisalo
- 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' FC jazz 2–2 KuPS Akatemia
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' FC jazz win: 58% at kick-off, 33% now
- 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Draw is now our likeliest result at 50% (was FC jazz win 33%)
- 70′A goal for KuPS Akatemia on 69′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 32–51–17
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' FC jazz win: 58% at kick-off, 28% now
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 46' FC jazz · On: P. Salminen · Off: A. Luhtanen
- 77′We said FC jazz at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–62–14
- 81′We said FC jazz at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 2–2 · 18–71–11
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' FC jazz win: 58% at kick-off, 18% now
- 84′We said FC jazz at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 2–2 · 13–79–8
- 88′We said FC jazz at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–85–5
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' FC jazz win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
- FTFULL TIME FC jazz 2–2 KuPS Akatemia
- FTFC jazz 2–2 KuPS Akatemia · FC jazz win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
FC jazz are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: FC jazz 58%, draw 19%, KuPS Akatemia 22%. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 68%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
FC jazz win58%
KuPS Akatemia win22%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:00
RoundGroup stage
VenuePorin Stadion
Match timeline
All events
FC jazzMIN
KuPS AkatemiaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
FC jazz
KuPS Akatemia
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
FC jazz
KuPS Akatemia
Last match: 12 Oct · Ykkönen
Last match: 10 Oct · Ykkönen
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
FC jazz
Formation not confirmed
26 J. Riihela
2 J. Lemio
3 J. Nuorela
4 A. Luhtanen
5 J. Lakkamaki
8 E. Kaipiainen
12 E. Vare
14 J. Marttila
16 J. Petrishin
17 L. Nuorela
22 J. Pulla
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · A. Takala
6 · N. Aydin
7 · C. Harjanne
9 · E. Lamberg
11 · P. Salminen
13 · E. Ruusuvuori
KuPS Akatemia
Formation not confirmed
12 K. Silen
7 L. Paasisalo
8 J. Kivijarvi
13 P. Tuomainen
14 P. Hautakangas
16 A. Tahkola
18 V. Lahtela
20 E. Karkkainen
21 N. Oksanen
22 E. Erguner
23 N. Mattila
Coach · Juho Neuvonen
Substitutes
1 · K. Kauppinen
3 · R. Tikkanen
5 · R. Tahkola
9 · D. Huttunen
33 · A. Niskanen
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
FC jazz
Formation not confirmed
26 J. Riihela
2 J. Lemio
3 J. Nuorela
4 A. Luhtanen
5 J. Lakkamaki
8 E. Kaipiainen
12 E. Vare
14 J. Marttila
16 J. Petrishin
17 L. Nuorela
22 J. Pulla
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · A. Takala
6 · N. Aydin
7 · C. Harjanne
9 · E. Lamberg
11 · P. Salminen
13 · E. Ruusuvuori
KuPS Akatemia
Formation not confirmed
12 K. Silen
7 L. Paasisalo
8 J. Kivijarvi
13 P. Tuomainen
14 P. Hautakangas
16 A. Tahkola
18 V. Lahtela
20 E. Karkkainen
21 N. Oksanen
22 E. Erguner
23 N. Mattila
Coach · Juho Neuvonen
Substitutes
1 · K. Kauppinen
3 · R. Tikkanen
5 · R. Tahkola
9 · D. Huttunen
33 · A. Niskanen
We make FC jazz a 58% chance to win. The market has them at 59%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 2.3–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 60%, 58% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 59% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC jazz win | 58% | 59% | −1 |
| Draw | 19% | 20% | −1 |
| KuPS Akatemia win | 22% | 21% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | 78% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 68% | 73% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% | 91% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51% | 61% | −10 |
| FC jazz or draw | 78% | 79% | −1 |
| FC jazz clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
| KuPS Akatemia clean sheet | 10% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2022Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Ykkönen this season · since 21 Aug
FC JAZZ
KUPS AKATEMIA
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampere United | 26 | +33 | 53 |
| 2 | Rops | 26 | +20 | 47 |
| 3 | SalPa | 26 | +11 | 45 |
| 4 | VJS | 26 | +13 | 43 |
| 5 | OLS | 26 | +12 | 41 |
| 6 | FC jazz | 26 | +1 | 39 |
| 7 | PKKU | 26 | +4 | 38 |
| 8 | JJK | 26 | −3 | 31 |
| 9 | TPV | 26 | −9 | 30 |
| 10 | Inter Turku II | 26 | −9 | 29 |
| 11 | KPV-j | 26 | −52 | 18 |
| 12 | KuPS Akatemia | 26 | −21 | 15 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Tampere United
Rops
SalPa
VJS
OLS
PKKU
JJK
TPV
Inter Turku II
KPV-j