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AC Oulu v VPS
AC OuluVPSVeikkausliiga · WED 28 OCT · OTC Stadion
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with AC Oulu just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: AC Oulu 38%, draw 27%, VPS 35%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 52%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
AC Oulu win38%VPS win35%Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 16:00
RoundChampionship Group · matchday 30
VenueOTC Stadion
Match timeline
All events
AC OuluMINVPSEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
AC Oulu
VPS
Last match: 24 Oct · Veikkausliiga
Last match: 24 Oct · Veikkausliiga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026 · Champion GroupPositions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AC Oulu | 29 | −1 | 43 |
| 6 | VPS | 29 | −3 | 39 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make AC Oulu a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 37%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.3–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 37%, 38% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 37% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Oulu win | 38% | 37% | +1 |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | −1 |
| VPS win | 35% | 34% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 52% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | – | – |
| AC Oulu or draw | 65% | 66% | −1 |
| AC Oulu clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
| VPS clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Veikkausliiga this season · since 12 Sept
AC OULU
VPS
The table
2026 · Champion Group| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter Turku | 29 | +15 | 55 |
| 2 |  HJK Helsinki | 28 | +21 | 51 |
| 3 |  KuPS | 28 | +17 | 51 |
| 4 | AC Oulu | 29 | −1 | 43 |
| 5 |  Gnistan | 29 | +2 | 42 |
| 6 | VPS | 29 | −3 | 39 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.