PK-35 Vantaa W v EBK W prediction · Kansallinen Liiga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 19:31

PK-35 Vantaa W 4–0 EBK W PK-35 VANTAA W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said PK-35 Vantaa W win~~65%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.182

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 18 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said PK-35 Vantaa W win at 65%.
2′Little has changed for our model: PK-35 Vantaa W 65% before kick-off, 65% now. 0–0 · 65–16–19
2′KICK-OFF PK-35 Vantaa W v EBK W
24′We said PK-35 Vantaa W at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 1–0 · 81–13–7
24′PK-35 Vantaa W find the net on 24′. 1–0. 1–0 · 81–13–7
24′⚽ GOAL · 24' PK-35 Vantaa W 1–0 EBK W
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' PK-35 Vantaa W win: 65% at kick-off, 81% now
30′The goal count is tracking the 3.8 we expected. 1–0 · 81–13–6
32′We said PK-35 Vantaa W at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 2–0 · 94–5–1
32′⚽ GOAL · 32' PK-35 Vantaa W 2–0 EBK W
32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' PK-35 Vantaa W win: 65% at kick-off, 94% now
34′PK-35 Vantaa W find the net on 32′. 3–0 · 99–1–0
34′⚽ GOAL · 34' PK-35 Vantaa W 3–0 EBK W
34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' PK-35 Vantaa W win: 65% at kick-off, 99% now
35′We said PK-35 Vantaa W at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 3–0 · 99–1–0
39′34′: elina peltokangas on the scoresheet for PK-35 Vantaa W, making it 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
45′HALF-TIME PK-35 Vantaa W 3–0 EBK W
46′SECOND HALF PK-35 Vantaa W 3–0 EBK W
53′SUBSTITUTION · 46' EBK W · On: matilda sandbacka · Off: tea heininen
53′SUBSTITUTION · 46' EBK W · On: Karoliina Autio · Off: pihla martin
53′SUBSTITUTION · 46' EBK W · On: Minttu Latomaki · Off: Ife Ekemode
55′We said PK-35 Vantaa W at 65% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–0 · 100–0–0
55′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.8 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
55′⚽ GOAL · 55' PK-35 Vantaa W 4–0 EBK W
57′PK-35 Vantaa W find the net on 54′. 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
64′SUBSTITUTION · 57' PK-35 Vantaa W · On: nette klingberg · Off: vilja kuri
64′SUBSTITUTION · 57' PK-35 Vantaa W · On: Ella Hatara · Off: elina peltokangas
64′SUBSTITUTION · 57' EBK W · On: mari kalliovaara · Off: Elsa kokko rinta
68′🟨 YELLOW · 66' PK-35 Vantaa W
FTFULL TIME PK-35 Vantaa W 4–0 EBK W
FTPK-35 Vantaa W 4–0 EBK W · PK-35 Vantaa W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

PK-35 Vantaa W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: PK-35 Vantaa W 65%, draw 16%, EBK W 19%. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on PK-35 Vantaa W v EBK WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

PK-35 Vantaa W win65%

Draw16%

EBK W win19%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 17:00

RoundRelegation Play-Off · matchday 9

VenueMyyrmaaen jalkapallostadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

PK-35 Vantaa W

EBK W

16Days since last match15

Last match: 2 Oct · Kansallinen Liiga

Last match: 3 Oct · Kansallinen Liiga

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	PK-35 Vantaa W	14	−23	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · pk-35 vantaa w winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

65% The market–

Us65%

We make PK-35 Vantaa W a 65% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · PK-35 Vantaa W v EBK W~~2.60 – 1.22

~~Form · last six in Kansallinen Liiga this season · since 23 Aug~~W3 D2 L1 · W2 D2 L2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
PK-35 Vantaa W win	65%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
EBK W win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	72%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	52%	–	–
PK-35 Vantaa W or draw	81%	–	–
PK-35 Vantaa W clean sheet	31%	–	–
EBK W clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.4%

0123450 2.0 3.8 2.1 1 6.6 6.6 4.6 2 7.2 8.4 5.2 2.2 3 6.0 6.8 4.1 4 4.1 4.4 2.6 5 2.4 2.5

under 2% 5% 12%+PK-35 Vantaa W down, EBK W across0–5 goals a side shown (92.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 697 Kansallinen Liiga matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Kansallinen Liiga matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.1% of games this season, across 107 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2026 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

PK-35 Vantaa W at home: 2.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). EBK W away: 0.75 scored, 1.25 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

2.60 goals for PK-35 Vantaa W, 1.22 for EBK W. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~EBK 2–2 PKV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Kansallinen Liiga this season · since 23 Aug

PK-35 VANTAA W

LDWWWD1–2 · 2–2 · 5–1 · 6–0 · 10–0 · 1–1

EBK W

WDLDWL3–2 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 3–2 · 1–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	HJK W	14	+29	39
2	Åland United W	14	+22	28
3	KuPS W	14	+10	28
4	HPS W	14	+4	24
5	Ilves W	14	+1	22
6	IF Gnistan	14	−11	13
7	PK-35 Vantaa W	14	−23	7
8	VIFK W	14	−32	2