Home › Football › Kansallinen Liiga › Ilves W v HPS W
Back

Ilves W v HPS W
Ilves W
HPS WKansallinen Liiga · SUN 18 OCT · Kaupin urheilupuisto
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said HPS W win at 50%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: HPS W 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 29–21–50
- 1′KICK-OFF Ilves W v HPS W
- 17′🟨 YELLOW · 17' HPS W
- 26′We said HPS W at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 0–1 · 10–18–72
- 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Ilves W 0–1 HPS W
- 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' HPS W win: 50% at kick-off, 72% now
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.3 we expected. 0–1 · 10–18–72
- 32′tessa perttula scores for HPS W on 26′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 10–18–72
- 36′We said HPS W at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 91%. 0–2 · 2–7–91
- 36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Ilves W 0–2 HPS W
- 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' HPS W win: 50% at kick-off, 91% now
- 39′HPS W score on 36′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 2–6–91
- 45′HALF-TIME Ilves W 0–2 HPS W
- 46′SECOND HALF Ilves W 0–2 HPS W
- 57′We said HPS W at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–2 · 1–5–95
- 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Ilves W 0–3 HPS W
- 65′We said HPS W at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–3 · 0–0–100
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' HPS W win: 50% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 68′HPS W find the net on 63′. 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 61' HPS W · On: olivia kahre · Off: Henni Rinkinen
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 61' HPS W · On: oona jaaskelainen · Off: tessa perttula
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 61' HPS W · On: Aino Lamberg · Off: fanni sinivuori
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Ilves W · On: anna tarkkanen · Off: anela ljesnjanin
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Ilves W · On: Werna Fomenko · Off: aino rasinen
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Ilves W · On: Lotta lahteenmaki · Off: Heta Olmala
- 81′🟨 YELLOW · 77' HPS W
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 77' HPS W · On: Moona talka · Off: Eevi paakkari
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 77' HPS W · On: Milla punsar · Off: Tao Stark
- 93′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 0–4 · 0–0–100
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Ilves W · On: iida kallio · Off: Reeta pirila
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Ilves W · On: maija jamsa · Off: amelia luotonen
- 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Ilves W 0–4 HPS W
- FTFULL TIME Ilves W 0–4 HPS W
- FTIlves W 0–4 HPS W · HPS W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
HPS W are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Ilves W 29%, draw 21%, HPS W 50%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 63%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Ilves W win29%
HPS W win50%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:00
RoundChampionship playoffs · matchday 9
VenueKaupin urheilupuisto
Match timeline
All events
Ilves WMIN
HPS WEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Ilves W
HPS W
Last match: 3 Oct · Kansallinen Liiga
Last match: 4 Oct · Kansallinen Liiga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make HPS W a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.9, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ilves W win | 29% | – | – |
| Draw | 21% | – | – |
| HPS W win | 50% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 63% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | – | – |
| Ilves W or draw | 50% | – | – |
| Ilves W clean sheet | 15% | – | – |
| HPS W clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Kansallinen Liiga this season · since 21 Aug
ILVES W
HPS W
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HJK W | 14 | +29 | 39 |
| 2 | Åland United W | 14 | +22 | 28 |
| 3 | KuPS W | 14 | +10 | 28 |
| 4 | HPS W | 14 | +4 | 24 |
| 5 | Ilves W | 14 | +1 | 22 |
| 6 | IF Gnistan | 14 | −11 | 13 |
| 7 | PK-35 Vantaa W | 14 | −23 | 7 |
| 8 | VIFK W | 14 | −32 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
HJK W
Åland United W
KuPS W
IF Gnistan
PK-35 Vantaa W
VIFK W