HJS Akatemia W v Honka W

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Honka W win at 56%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Honka W was 56% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 26–18–56
3. 1′KICK-OFF HJS Akatemia W v Honka W
4. 35′We published Honka W at 56%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 9–16–75
5. 35′Honka W score on 35′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 9–16–75
6. 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' HJS Akatemia W 0–1 Honka W
7. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Honka W win: 56% at kick-off, 75% now
8. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Honka W win: 56% at kick-off, 76% now
9. 45′HALF-TIME HJS Akatemia W 0–1 Honka W
10. 47′SECOND HALF HJS Akatemia W 0–1 Honka W
11. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' HJS Akatemia W · On: Elina Vilen · Off: Ella leskela
12. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' HJS Akatemia W · On: Helmi-Sofia Palmu · Off: Veera Aho
13. 53′We said Honka W at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 42%. 1–1 · 23–34–42
14. 53′Goals are coming at about the 3.9 we expected. 1–1 · 23–34–42
15. 53′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Honka W
16. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' HJS Akatemia W 1–1 Honka W
17. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Honka W win: 56% at kick-off, 42% now
18. 55′HJS Akatemia W level it on 51′ through Elina Vilen. 1–1. 1–1 · 23–36–41
19. 59′We said Honka W at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 22–39–39
20. 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Honka W win 37%)
21. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Honka W win: 56% at kick-off, 36% now
22. 67′We said Honka W at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 20–46–34
23. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Veera jaaska · Honka W
24. 73′We said Honka W at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 17–54–29
25. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Honka W win: 56% at kick-off, 26% now
26. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 71' HJS Akatemia W · On: Ruut Isotalo · Off: piita kytolaakso
27. 77′We said Honka W at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 15–61–24
28. 81′We said Honka W at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 1–1 · 11–70–18
29. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Honka W win: 56% at kick-off, 15% now
30. 84′We said Honka W at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 8–78–13
31. 88′We said Honka W at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 6–85–9
32. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Honka W · On: Milja Mitjonen · Off: melissa ahlroos
33. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Honka W · On: Martta orava · Off: Laura Linnala
34. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Honka W win: 56% at kick-off, 6% now
35. 93′We said Honka W at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 2–94–4
36. 93′We published Honka W at 56%. Our model now makes it 98%. 1–2 · 0–2–98
37. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' HJS Akatemia W 1–2 Honka W
38. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Honka W win: 56% at kick-off, 98% now
39. 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Honka W win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 2%)
40. FTFULL TIME HJS Akatemia W 1–2 Honka W
41. FTHJS Akatemia W 1–2 Honka W · Honka W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.