Vikingur Gota v EB / Streymur prediction · Meistaradeildin

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Vikingur GotaDrawEB / Streymur

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Vikingur Gota 67%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Vikingur Gota are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Vikingur Gota 67%, draw 20%, EB / Streymur 14%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Vikingur Gota v EB / StreymurBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Vikingur Gota win67%

Draw20%

EB / Streymur win14%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 26

RefereeE. Rasmussen

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Vikingur Gota

EB / Streymur

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Meistaradeildin

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Vikingur Gota	25	+10	41
6	EB / Streymur	25	−12	26

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vikingur gota winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

67% The market67%

Us67%

~~Market~~67%

We make Vikingur Gota a 67% chance to win. The market has them at 67%. We are level with the market. The model expects 2.1–0.8.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Vikingur Gota v EB / Streymur~~2.11 – 0.83

~~Form · last six in Meistaradeildin this season · since 21 Aug~~W2 D3 L1 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 41 v 26~~4 v 6

~~The market · Vikingur Gota win~~67% · ours 67%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Vikingur Gota win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 67% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Vikingur Gota win	67%	67%	0
Draw	20%	19%	+1
EB / Streymur win	14%	14%	0
Over 2.5 goals	56%	65%	−9
Both teams to score	49%	58%	−9
Over 1.5 goals	79%	84%	−5
Over 3.5 goals	34%	45%	−11
Vikingur Gota or draw	86%	86%	0
Vikingur Gota clean sheet	44%	–	–
EB / Streymur clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 11.8%

0123450 5.6 4.3 1 11.2 9.2 3.8 2 11.8 9.5 4.0 3 8.3 6.7 2.8 4 4.4 3.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Vikingur Gota down, EB / Streymur across0–5 goals a side shown (97.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 800 Meistaradeildin matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Meistaradeildin matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.2% of games this season, across 125 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.40 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Vikingur Gota at home: 1.83 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). EB / Streymur away: 1.50 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.11 goals for Vikingur Gota, 0.83 for EB / Streymur. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.40

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~EBS 1–2 VIK · EBS 1–1 VIK · VIK 1–1 EBS · EBS 1–2 VIK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Meistaradeildin this season · since 21 Aug

VIKINGUR GOTA

DLDDWW0–0 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 3–3 · 2–1 · 2–0

EB / STREYMUR

WLWWLL2–0 · 0–3 · 2–1 · 3–2 · 0–3 · 0–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	NSI Runavik	25	+23	54
2	KI Klaksvik	25	+26	48
3	HB Torshavn	25	+14	44
4	Vikingur Gota	25	+10	41
5	B36 Torshavn	25	+6	39
6	EB / Streymur	25	−12	26
7	Skála	25	−13	24
8	AB	25	−14	24
9	07 Vestur	25	−18	22
10	B68	25	−22	20