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NSI Runavik v 07 Vestur

NSI Runavik
1–0Full time
07 Vestur

Meistaradeildin · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 18:02
NSI Runavik 1–0 07 Vestur NSI RUNAVIK WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said NSI Runavik win71%
The market said75%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.123
The market’s Brier score0.099

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 23 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said NSI Runavik win at 71%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: NSI Runavik 71% before kick-off, 71% now. 0–0 · 71–16–13
  3. 1′KICK-OFF NSI Runavik v 07 Vestur
  4. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' NSI Runavik win: 71% at kick-off, 61% now
  5. 40′We said NSI Runavik at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 59–26–15
  6. 45′HALF-TIME NSI Runavik 0–0 07 Vestur
  7. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45' 07 Vestur
  8. 46′SECOND HALF NSI Runavik 0–0 07 Vestur
  9. 50′We said NSI Runavik at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 54–31–15
  10. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.8 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 51–34–14
  11. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' NSI Runavik win: 71% at kick-off, 51% now
  12. 58′We said NSI Runavik at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–37–14
  13. 64′We said NSI Runavik at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–42–14
  14. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' NSI Runavik win: 71% at kick-off, 41% now
  15. 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was NSI Runavik win 41%)
  16. 69′We said NSI Runavik at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–48–13
  17. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 53' 07 Vestur · On: E. Frodason · Off: J. Prior
  18. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 67' NSI Runavik · On: K. Olsen · Off: M. Olsen
  19. 73′We said NSI Runavik at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–54–12
  20. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' NSI Runavik win: 71% at kick-off, 30% now
  21. 77′We said NSI Runavik at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–61–10
  22. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' 07 Vestur · On: J. Nielsen · Off: R. Helgason
  23. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' NSI Runavik · On: A. Knudsen · Off: M. Lindh
  24. 80′We said NSI Runavik at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–68–8
  25. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' NSI Runavik win: 71% at kick-off, 20% now
  26. 83′We said NSI Runavik at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 18–76–7
  27. 83′A goal for NSI Runavik on 83′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 93–6–0
  28. 83′We said NSI Runavik at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 1–0 · 93–6–0
  29. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' NSI Runavik 1–0 07 Vestur
  30. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' NSI Runavik win: 71% at kick-off, 93% now
  31. 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' NSI Runavik win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 6%)
  32. 85′We said NSI Runavik at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
  33. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 88' NSI Runavik · On: S. Skytte · Off: M. Przybylski
  34. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90' 07 Vestur · On: L. Gardar · Off: O. Arntsen
  35. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' 07 Vestur · On: P. Vitor · Off: E. Petersen
  36. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' 07 Vestur · On: J. Nordendal · Off: J. van Der Heyden
  37. 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+6' 07 Vestur
  38. FTFULL TIME NSI Runavik 1–0 07 Vestur
  39. FTNSI Runavik 1–0 07 Vestur · NSI Runavik win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

NSI Runavik are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: NSI Runavik 71%, draw 16%, 07 Vestur 12%. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on NSI Runavik v 07 VesturBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

NSI Runavik win71%
Draw16%
07 Vestur win12%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 25

Line-ups

NSI Runavik

07 Vestur

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

NSI Runavik

07 Vestur

7Days since last match8

Last match: 11 Oct · Meistaradeildin

Last match: 10 Oct · Meistaradeildin

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1NSI Runavik24+2251
907 Vestur24−1722

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

NSI Runavik

Formation not confirmed

13 T. Amos

3 V. Davidsen

4 D. Obbekjaer

6 B. Nolsoe

11 M. Lindh

12 F. Drinic

16 P. Knudsen

17 J. Benjaminsen

29 E. W. Joensen

33 M. Przybylski

45 M. Olsen

Coach · Sigurdur Eyjolfsson

Substitutes

1 · K. Joensen

2 · S. Skytte

7 · A. Knudsen

9 · T. Hestad

10 · K. Olsen

24 · B. Hansen

28 · M. Danielsen

07 Vestur

Formation not confirmed

12 S. Steig

7 J. van Der Heyden

8 H. Nielsen

11 C. Gedsted

15 R. Helgason

18 J. Prior

21 E. Petersen

22 O. Arntsen

23 J. Steig

24 E. Jakobsen

30 O. Bodker

Coach · Michael Schjonberg

Substitutes

1 · D. Borentzvige

6 · E. Frodason

10 · J. Samuelsen

17 · P. Vitor

19 · J. Nielsen

20 · J. Nordendal

28 · L. Gardar

Our number · nsi runavik winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
71% The market75%
Us71%
Market75%

We make NSI Runavik a 71% chance to win. The market has them at 75%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.7–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · NSI Runavik v 07 Vestur2.73 – 1.07
Form · last six in Meistaradeildin this season · since 16 AugW4 D2 L0 · W1 D3 L2
Table places · points 51 v 221 v 9
The market · NSI Runavik win75% · ours 71%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
70%75%80% 12 OCT 04:0118 OCT 14:23
Our probability · NSI Runavik win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 75% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
NSI Runavik win71%75%−4
Draw16%15%+1
07 Vestur win12%10%+2
Over 2.5 goals73%73%0
Both teams to score61%60%+1
Over 1.5 goals89%88%+1
Over 3.5 goals52%54%−2
NSI Runavik or draw88%90%−2
NSI Runavik clean sheet35%––
07 Vestur clean sheet7%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.7%
0123450 2.7 2.2 1 5.9 6.9 3.5 2 8.3 8.7 4.7 3 7.5 7.8 4.2 4 5.1 5.4 2.9 5 2.9 3.0
under 2% 5% 12%+NSI Runavik down, 07 Vestur across0–5 goals a side shown (93.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting3.90
Over 2.57 of 10
Both scored5 of 10
Last meetingsVES 1–6 NSI · VES 0–4 NSI · NSI 2–0 VES · VES 1–5 NSI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Meistaradeildin this season · since 16 Aug

NSI RUNAVIK

WDWDWW4–2 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 2–1

07 VESTUR

LDDLDW1–2 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 3–3 · 3–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1NSI Runavik24+2251
2KI Klaksvik24+2748
3HB Torshavn24+1341
4Vikingur Gota24+838
5B36 Torshavn24+638
6EB / Streymur24−1126
7AB24−1224
8Skála24−1323
907 Vestur24−1722
10B6824−2317

The competition's standings before kick-off.