HB Torshavn v KI Klaksvik prediction · Meistaradeildin

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

HB Torshavn 0–3 KI Klaksvik KI KLAKSVIK WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said KI Klaksvik win~~44%

~~The market said~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.473

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.498

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 27 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said KI Klaksvik win at 44%.
1′KICK-OFF HB Torshavn v KI Klaksvik
2′Much as we predicted: KI Klaksvik was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 31–25–44
3′Much as we predicted: KI Klaksvik was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 31–25–44
7′⚽ GOAL · 7' HB Torshavn 0–1 KI Klaksvik
19′7′ and it is 0–1: E. Hustad on the scoresheet for KI Klaksvik. 0–1 · 12–19–70
19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' KI Klaksvik win: 44% at kick-off, 70% now
19′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 19' KI Klaksvik win: 44% at kick-off, 44% now
20′7′ and it is 0–1: E. Hustad on the scoresheet for KI Klaksvik. 0–1 · 11–19–70
20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' KI Klaksvik win: 44% at kick-off, 44% now
20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' KI Klaksvik win: 44% at kick-off, 70% now
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' KI Klaksvik win: 44% at kick-off, 70% now
45′HALF-TIME HB Torshavn 0–1 KI Klaksvik
46′SECOND HALF HB Torshavn 0–1 KI Klaksvik
67′SUBSTITUTION · 64' HB Torshavn · On: J. Thomsen · Off: M. Ebiye
79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' HB Torshavn · On: S. B. Pettersen · Off: A. Dam
84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' HB Torshavn · On: E. Mouritsen · Off: D. Soylu
84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' HB Torshavn · On: A. Johannesen · Off: A. Jonsson
85′SUBSTITUTION · 82' HB Torshavn · On: E. Mouritsen · Off: D. Soylu
85′SUBSTITUTION · 82' HB Torshavn · On: A. Johannesen · Off: A. Jonsson
85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' KI Klaksvik · On: M. Gonzalez · Off: M. Sinyan
85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' KI Klaksvik · On: D. Reynheim · Off: E. Hustad
86′SUBSTITUTION · 82' HB Torshavn · On: E. Mouritsen · Off: D. Soylu
86′SUBSTITUTION · 82' HB Torshavn · On: A. Johannesen · Off: A. Jonsson
86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' KI Klaksvik · On: M. Gonzalez · Off: M. Sinyan
86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' KI Klaksvik · On: D. Reynheim · Off: E. Hustad
88′⚽ GOAL · 87' HB Torshavn 0–2 KI Klaksvik
90′SUBSTITUTION · 90' KI Klaksvik · On: J. Joensen · Off: D. Pavlovic
90′⚽ GOAL · 97' HB Torshavn 0–3 KI Klaksvik
90′🟨 YELLOW · 97' HB Torshavn
90′🟥 RED CARD · 98' HB Torshavn
FTFULL TIME HB Torshavn 0–3 KI Klaksvik
FTHB Torshavn 0–3 KI Klaksvik · KI Klaksvik win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

HB Torshavn win31%

Draw25%

KI Klaksvik win44%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 15:00

VenueGundadalur

RefereeJ. H. Ellefsen

Line-ups

HB Torshavn

KI Klaksvik

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

HB Torshavn

KI Klaksvik

22Days since last match23

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	KI Klaksvik	23	+24	45
3	HB Torshavn	23	+16	41

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

HB Torshavn

Formation not confirmed

1 B. Mork

11 A. Dam

3 P. Steiring

4 H. Hansen

15 H. Mohr

9 H. Sorensen

28 A. Diop

8 D. Soylu

7 M. Voss

22 A. Jonsson

20 M. Ebiye

Coach · Andre Olsen

Substitutes

13 · T. Sjurdarson

27 · J. Skala

25 · S. B. Pettersen

30 · J. Lon

23 · J. Thomsen

6 · A. Johannesen

21 · E. Mouritsen

KI Klaksvik

Formation not confirmed

96 M. Jensen

2 G. Tellechea

4 M. Sinyan

5 D. Pavlovic

6 D. Johansen

7 A. Frederiksberg

8 J. Andreasen

17 F. Brattbakk

20 E. Hustad

22 O. Faero

23 J. Danielsen

Coach · Frodi Benjaminsen

Substitutes

12 · N. Christensen

11 · J. Johannesen

24 · M. Gonzalez

27 · D. Reynheim

33 · J. Joensen

36 · Jean Carlos

39 · E. Lukama

Our number · ki klaksvik winPublished 11 Oct 15:13

44% The market42%

Us44%

~~Market~~42%

We make KI Klaksvik a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.3–1.6.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · ki klaksvik win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 47% to 42% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
HB Torshavn win	31%	31%	−1
Draw	25%	26%	−1
KI Klaksvik win	44%	42%	+2
Over 2.5 goals	56%	54%	+2
Both teams to score	59%	58%	+1
Over 1.5 goals	79%	77%	+3
Over 3.5 goals	34%	33%	+2
HB Torshavn or draw	56%	58%	−2
HB Torshavn clean sheet	20%	–	–
KI Klaksvik clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.5%

0123450 6.0 8.2 6.9 3.8 1 6.6 11.5 8.9 4.8 2.0 2 4.6 7.3 5.9 3.2 3 2.1 3.3 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+HB Torshavn down, KI Klaksvik across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 791 Meistaradeildin matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Meistaradeildin matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.2% of games this season, across 116 played.

Head to head

17 previous meetings, 2.29 goals a meeting; 7 of 17 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

HB Torshavn at home: 2.17 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). KI Klaksvik away: 2.50 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.33 goals for HB Torshavn, 1.62 for KI Klaksvik. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

17 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.29

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 17

~~Both scored~~6 of 17

~~Last meetings~~KIK 0–2 HBT · HBT 0–2 KIK · KIK 0–0 HBT · HBT 1–1 KIK

Form · last six in Meistaradeildin

HB TORSHAVN

WWDWDW2–0 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 2–2 · 4–1

KI KLAKSVIK

LWDWWD0–2 · 4–3 · 2–2 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 2–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	NSI Runavik	23	+21	48
2	KI Klaksvik	23	+24	45
3	HB Torshavn	23	+16	41
4	Vikingur Gota	23	+7	35
5	B36 Torshavn	23	+5	35
6	EB / Streymur	24	−11	26
7	AB	23	−11	24
8	Skála	23	−12	23
9	07 Vestur	24	−17	22
10	B68	23	−22	17