B68 v Vikingur Gota prediction · Meistaradeildin

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

B68 1–2 Vikingur Gota VIKINGUR GOTA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Vikingur Gota win~~63%

~~The market said~~65%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.212

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.184

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 13 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Vikingur Gota win at 63%.
1′Much as we predicted: Vikingur Gota was 63% before kick-off and our model makes it 63% now. 0–0 · 16–21–63
2′Much as we predicted: Vikingur Gota was 63% before kick-off and our model makes it 63% now. 0–0 · 16–21–63
22′R. Hansen scores for Vikingur Gota on 16′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 4–12–84
23′R. Hansen scores for Vikingur Gota on 16′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 4–12–84
45′We published Vikingur Gota at 63%. Our model now makes it 84%. 0–1 · 3–13–84
54′We published Vikingur Gota at 63%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–1 · 2–13–85
60′We published Vikingur Gota at 63%. Our model now makes it 86%. 0–1 · 2–12–86
75′Vikingur Gota find the net on 75′. 1–2. 1–2 · 1–9–90
85′Vikingur Gota ahead on 75′ through J. Nielsen. 1–2. 1–2 · 0–4–96
86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Vikingur Gota win: 63% at kick-off, 96% now
86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Vikingur Gota win: 63% at kick-off, 90% now
87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Vikingur Gota win: 63% at kick-off, 96% now
87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Vikingur Gota win: 63% at kick-off, 90% now
88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Vikingur Gota win: 63% at kick-off, 90% now
88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Vikingur Gota win: 63% at kick-off, 96% now
89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Vikingur Gota win: 63% at kick-off, 96% now
89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Vikingur Gota win: 63% at kick-off, 90% now
90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Vikingur Gota win: 63% at kick-off, 90% now
90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Vikingur Gota win: 63% at kick-off, 96% now
90′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Vikingur Gota · On: J. Jarnskor · Off: A. Brandsson
90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Vikingur Gota · On: K. L. Bartalsstovu · Off: J. Johansen
FTFULL TIME B68 1–2 Vikingur Gota
FTB68 1–2 Vikingur Gota · Vikingur Gota win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get the 30-day pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

B68 win16%

Draw22%

Vikingur Gota win63%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 17:15

VenueSvangaskard

RefereeN. Petersen

Line-ups

B68

Vikingur Gota

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

B68

Vikingur Gota

22Days since last match22

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Vikingur Gota	23	+7	35
10	B68	23	−22	17

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

B68

Formation not confirmed

1 T. Thomsen

2 A. Jensen

8 M. Beyai

10 S. Lau

11 M. Non

13 P. Mensah

14 K. Clementsen

16 F. Petersen

17 L. Ahmed

22 H. Hojgaard

25 A. R. Hansen

Coach · Martin Olsen

Substitutes

4 · B. Niclasen

18 · A. Johannesen

19 · H. Johansen

27 · B. Hansen

28 · J. Samuelsen

30 · J. Goronjic

77 · S. Danielsen

Vikingur Gota

Formation not confirmed

1 B. Reynatrod

6 A. Brandsson

7 J. Johansen

8 A. Ellingsgaard

9 J. Nielsen

10 S. Vatnhamar

14 I. Jonhardsson

18 A. Svensson

24 J. Olavsson

27 R. Hansen

29 I. Arngrimsson

Coach · Johan Poulsen

Substitutes

23 · N. Thomsen

77 · K. L. Bartalsstovu

5 · J. Vilhelmsen

12 · D. a. Lidarenda

19 · J. Jarnskor

Our number · vikingur gota winPublished 11 Oct 17:22

63% The market65%

Us63%

~~Market~~65%

We make Vikingur Gota a 63% chance to win. The market has them at 65%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–2.0.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · vikingur gota win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 65% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
B68 win	16%	14%	+2
Draw	22%	21%	+1
Vikingur Gota win	63%	65%	−3
Over 2.5 goals	55%	59%	−4
Both teams to score	51%	54%	−3
Over 1.5 goals	78%	80%	−1
Over 3.5 goals	33%	39%	−6
B68 or draw	37%	35%	+3
B68 clean sheet	14%	–	–
Vikingur Gota clean sheet	42%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 11.1%

0123450 6.2 10.8 11.1 7.4 3.8 1 4.6 10.2 9.6 6.4 3.2 2 2.2 4.4 4.3 2.9 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+B68 down, Vikingur Gota across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 791 Meistaradeildin matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Meistaradeildin matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.2% of games this season, across 116 played.

Head to head

17 previous meetings, 3.59 goals a meeting; 14 of 17 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

B68 at home: 1.33 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Vikingur Gota away: 1.50 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.89 goals for B68, 2.00 for Vikingur Gota. Most likely score 0–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

17 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.59

~~Over 2.5~~14 of 17

~~Both scored~~10 of 17

~~Last meetings~~VIK 2–1 B · VIK 2–2 B · B 2–2 VIK · VIK 2–1 B

Form · last six in Meistaradeildin

B68

LLLDDL1–2 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–3

VIKINGUR GOTA

WLDLDD2–1 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 3–3

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	NSI Runavik	23	+21	48
2	KI Klaksvik	23	+24	45
3	HB Torshavn	23	+16	41
4	Vikingur Gota	23	+7	35
5	B36 Torshavn	23	+5	35
6	EB / Streymur	24	−11	26
7	AB	23	−11	24
8	Skála	23	−12	23
9	07 Vestur	24	−17	22
10	B68	23	−22	17