AB v B36 Torshavn prediction · Meistaradeildin

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

AB 1–2 B36 Torshavn B36 TORSHAVN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said B36 Torshavn win~~49%

~~The market said~~56%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.398

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.296

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 27 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said B36 Torshavn win at 49%.
2′Little has changed for our model: B36 Torshavn 49% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 27–24–49
5′Little has changed for our model: B36 Torshavn 49% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 27–24–48
45′B. Klein scores for B36 Torshavn on 32′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 6–18–75
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' B36 Torshavn win: 49% at kick-off, 75% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' B36 Torshavn win: 49% at kick-off, 45% now
45′HALF-TIME AB 0–1 B36 Torshavn
46′SECOND HALF AB 0–1 B36 Torshavn
50′B. Klein scores for B36 Torshavn on 31′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 6–18–76
53′B. Klein scores for B36 Torshavn on 31′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 5–18–77
60′🟨 YELLOW · 60' B36 Torshavn
64′⚽ GOAL · 64' AB 0–2 B36 Torshavn
68′⚽ GOAL · 67' AB 1–2 B36 Torshavn
70′AB ahead on 68′ through B. Nielsen. 1–2. 1–2 · 2–15–83
70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' B36 Torshavn win: 49% at kick-off, 83% now
70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' B36 Torshavn win: 49% at kick-off, 77% now
71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' B36 Torshavn win: 49% at kick-off, 83% now
71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' B36 Torshavn win: 49% at kick-off, 77% now
72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' B36 Torshavn win: 49% at kick-off, 83% now
72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' B36 Torshavn win: 49% at kick-off, 77% now
73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' B36 Torshavn win: 49% at kick-off, 77% now
73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' B36 Torshavn win: 49% at kick-off, 83% now
74′AB ahead on 68′ through B. Nielsen. 1–2. 1–2 · 2–13–85
74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' B36 Torshavn win: 49% at kick-off, 77% now
74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' B36 Torshavn win: 49% at kick-off, 83% now
74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' B36 Torshavn
79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' AB · On: S. Rasmussen · Off: B. Jacobsen
79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' B36 Torshavn · On: S. Solheim · Off: W. Rygaard
80′SUBSTITUTION · 77' B36 Torshavn · On: J. Gullfoss · Off: B. Klein
87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' B36 Torshavn · On: H. Solheim · Off: D. Andreasen
90′We said B36 Torshavn at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 1–2 · 0–0–100
90′SUBSTITUTION · 92' AB · On: P. Sjostein · Off: B. Nielsen
90′SUBSTITUTION · 93' AB · On: J. Bruhn · Off: M. Friis
90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' B36 Torshavn win: 49% at kick-off, 100% now
90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' B36 Torshavn win: 49% at kick-off, 83% now
FTFULL TIME AB 1–2 B36 Torshavn
FTAB 1–2 B36 Torshavn · B36 Torshavn win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

AB win27%

Draw24%

B36 Torshavn win49%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 17:15

VenueSkansi Arena

RefereeD. Forna

Line-ups

AB

B36 Torshavn

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

AB

B36 Torshavn

22Days since last match23

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	B36 Torshavn	23	+5	35
7	AB	23	−11	24

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

AB

Formation not confirmed

1 J. Sorensen

4 D. Danielsen

5 G. Reynslag

7 B. Nielsen

8 M. Friis

9 L. Thorstensen

10 R. Skala

11 B. Jacobsen

20 S. Henriksen

23 J. Steingrimsson

30 O. Moses

Coach · Ossur Hansen

Substitutes

16 · T. Skala

13 · S. Rasmussen

14 · J. Bruhn

18 · P. Sjostein

26 · B. E. Danielsen

27 · J. Gledisheygg

28 · O. Isfeld

B36 Torshavn

Formation not confirmed

1 S. Eydsteinsson

8 R. Samuelsen

9 H. Agnarsson

10 B. Dabo

11 P. Petersen

15 G. Samuelsen

18 D. Andreasen

20 D. Sivertsen

21 W. Rygaard

22 B. Reinert-Petersen

24 B. Klein

Coach · Jakup Borg

Substitutes

25 · H. Jorgensen

7 · S. Solheim

19 · S. Djumic

12 · H. Solheim

14 · J. Gullfoss

13 · J. Osa

Our number · b36 torshavn winPublished 11 Oct 17:22

49% The market56%

Us49%

~~Market~~56%

We make B36 Torshavn a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 56%. We are 7 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.7.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · b36 torshavn win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 55% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
AB win	27%	21%	+6
Draw	24%	23%	+1
B36 Torshavn win	49%	56%	−7
Over 2.5 goals	57%	60%	−3
Both teams to score	59%	60%	−1
Over 1.5 goals	80%	81%	−1
Over 3.5 goals	35%	39%	−4
AB or draw	51%	44%	+7
AB clean sheet	18%	–	–
B36 Torshavn clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%

0123450 5.7 8.4 7.6 4.5 1 5.9 11.2 9.3 5.4 2.4 2 4.0 6.7 5.8 3.4 3 2.8 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+AB down, B36 Torshavn across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 791 Meistaradeildin matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Meistaradeildin matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.2% of games this season, across 116 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 3.38 goals a meeting; 6 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

AB at home: 2.33 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). B36 Torshavn away: 0.83 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.25 goals for AB, 1.75 for B36 Torshavn. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~3.38

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 8

~~Both scored~~4 of 8

~~Last meetings~~BTO 1–0 AB · AB 1–4 BTO · AB 3–2 BTO · BTO 2–1 AB

Form · last six in Meistaradeildin

AB

WLLLDL3–2 · 3–4 · 0–2 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 1–4

B36 TORSHAVN

LWDDLL0–2 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	NSI Runavik	23	+21	48
2	KI Klaksvik	23	+24	45
3	HB Torshavn	23	+16	41
4	Vikingur Gota	23	+7	35
5	B36 Torshavn	23	+5	35
6	EB / Streymur	24	−11	26
7	AB	23	−11	24
8	Skála	23	−12	23
9	07 Vestur	24	−17	22
10	B68	23	−22	17