AB v 07 Vestur prediction · Meistaradeildin

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ABDraw07 Vestur

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · AB 41%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

AB are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: AB 41%, draw 25%, 07 Vestur 34%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on AB v 07 VesturBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

AB win41%

Draw25%

07 Vestur win34%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 27

VenueSkansi Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

AB

07 Vestur

13Days since last match13

Last match: 18 Oct · Meistaradeildin

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	AB	25	−14	24
9	07 Vestur	25	−18	22

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ab winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make AB a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · AB v 07 Vestur~~1.56 – 1.39

~~Form · last six in Meistaradeildin this season · since 23 Aug~~W0 D1 L5 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 24 v 22~~8 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
AB win	41%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
07 Vestur win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	56%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
AB or draw	66%	–	–
AB clean sheet	25%	–	–
07 Vestur clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%

0123450 5.6 7.2 5.1 2.4 1 8.1 11.3 7.7 3.6 2 6.4 8.6 6.0 2.8 3 3.3 4.5 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+AB down, 07 Vestur across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 800 Meistaradeildin matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Meistaradeildin matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.2% of games this season, across 125 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 5 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

AB at home: 2.00 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). 07 Vestur away: 1.00 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.56 goals for AB, 1.39 for 07 Vestur. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 9

~~Both scored~~6 of 9

~~Last meetings~~VES 2–0 AB · AB 2–0 VES · VES 2–1 AB · AB 2–0 VES

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Meistaradeildin this season · since 23 Aug

AB

LLDLLL0–2 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 1–4 · 1–2 · 0–2

07 VESTUR

DDLDWL0–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 3–3 · 3–0 · 0–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	NSI Runavik	25	+23	54
2	KI Klaksvik	25	+26	48
3	HB Torshavn	25	+14	44
4	Vikingur Gota	25	+10	41
5	B36 Torshavn	25	+6	39
6	EB / Streymur	25	−12	26
7	Skála	25	−13	24
8	AB	25	−14	24
9	07 Vestur	25	−18	22
10	B68	25	−22	20