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07 Vestur v EB / Streymur

07 Vestur

3–0Full time

EB / Streymur

Meistaradeildin · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 21:01

07 Vestur 3–0 EB / Streymur 07 VESTUR WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said 07 Vestur win~~39%

~~The market said~~37%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.558

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.592

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 56 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said 07 Vestur win at 39%.
1′Much as we predicted: 07 Vestur was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 40–25–35
14′Much as we predicted: 07 Vestur was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 38–27–34
31′07 Vestur find the net on 30′. 1–0. 1–0 · 68–21–11
38′07 Vestur ahead on 30′ through H. Nielsen. 1–0. 1–0 · 69–21–10
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' 07 Vestur win: 39% at kick-off, 68% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' 07 Vestur win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
45′HALF-TIME 07 Vestur 1–0 EB / Streymur
46′SECOND HALF 07 Vestur 1–0 EB / Streymur
48′⚽ GOAL · 48' 07 Vestur 2–0 EB / Streymur
58′⚽ GOAL · 58' 07 Vestur 3–0 EB / Streymur
69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' EB / Streymur · On: F. Holm · Off: R. Egilstoft
70′SUBSTITUTION · 67' EB / Streymur · On: T. Miezan · Off: M. Nielsen
73′🟨 YELLOW · 73' 07 Vestur
76′SUBSTITUTION · 9' EB / Streymur · On: B. L. Sowe · Off: O. Poulsen
76′⚽ GOAL · 30' 07 Vestur 3–0 EB / Streymur · H. Nielsen (assist O. Bodker)
76′🟨 YELLOW · 32' E. Petersen · 07 Vestur
76′🟨 YELLOW · 46' G. Dahl-Olsen · EB / Streymur
76′⚽ GOAL · 48' 07 Vestur 3–0 EB / Streymur · J. van Der Heyden (assist C. Gedsted)
76′⚽ GOAL · 58' 07 Vestur 3–0 EB / Streymur · C. Gedsted
76′SUBSTITUTION · 67' EB / Streymur · On: F. Holm · Off: R. Egilstoft
76′SUBSTITUTION · 67' EB / Streymur · On: T. Miezan · Off: M. Nielsen
76′🟨 YELLOW · 73' O. Arntsen · 07 Vestur
78′SUBSTITUTION · 9' EB / Streymur · On: B. L. Sowe · Off: O. Poulsen
78′⚽ GOAL · 30' 07 Vestur 3–0 EB / Streymur · H. Nielsen (assist O. Bodker)
78′🟨 YELLOW · 32' E. Petersen · 07 Vestur
78′🟨 YELLOW · 46' G. Dahl-Olsen · EB / Streymur
78′⚽ GOAL · 48' 07 Vestur 3–0 EB / Streymur · J. van Der Heyden (assist C. Gedsted)
78′⚽ GOAL · 58' 07 Vestur 3–0 EB / Streymur · C. Gedsted
78′SUBSTITUTION · 67' EB / Streymur · On: F. Holm · Off: R. Egilstoft
78′SUBSTITUTION · 67' EB / Streymur · On: T. Miezan · Off: M. Nielsen
78′🟨 YELLOW · 73' O. Arntsen · 07 Vestur
78′SUBSTITUTION · 75' 07 Vestur · On: R. Helgason · Off: M. Jacobsen
79′SUBSTITUTION · 9' EB / Streymur · On: B. L. Sowe · Off: O. Poulsen
79′⚽ GOAL · 30' 07 Vestur 3–0 EB / Streymur · H. Nielsen (assist O. Bodker)
79′🟨 YELLOW · 32' E. Petersen · 07 Vestur
79′🟨 YELLOW · 46' G. Dahl-Olsen · EB / Streymur
79′⚽ GOAL · 48' 07 Vestur 3–0 EB / Streymur · J. van Der Heyden (assist C. Gedsted)
79′⚽ GOAL · 58' 07 Vestur 3–0 EB / Streymur · C. Gedsted
79′SUBSTITUTION · 67' EB / Streymur · On: F. Holm · Off: R. Egilstoft
79′SUBSTITUTION · 67' EB / Streymur · On: T. Miezan · Off: M. Nielsen
79′🟨 YELLOW · 73' O. Arntsen · 07 Vestur
79′SUBSTITUTION · 75' 07 Vestur · On: R. Helgason · Off: M. Jacobsen
79′SUBSTITUTION · 75' 07 Vestur · On: L. Gardar · Off: E. Petersen
83′SUBSTITUTION · 9' EB / Streymur · On: B. L. Sowe · Off: O. Poulsen
83′⚽ GOAL · 30' 07 Vestur 3–0 EB / Streymur · H. Nielsen (assist O. Bodker)
83′🟨 YELLOW · 32' E. Petersen · 07 Vestur
83′🟨 YELLOW · 46' G. Dahl-Olsen · EB / Streymur
83′⚽ GOAL · 48' 07 Vestur 3–0 EB / Streymur · J. van Der Heyden (assist C. Gedsted)
83′⚽ GOAL · 58' 07 Vestur 3–0 EB / Streymur · C. Gedsted
83′SUBSTITUTION · 67' EB / Streymur · On: F. Holm · Off: R. Egilstoft
83′SUBSTITUTION · 67' EB / Streymur · On: T. Miezan · Off: M. Nielsen
83′🟨 YELLOW · 73' O. Arntsen · 07 Vestur
83′SUBSTITUTION · 75' 07 Vestur · On: R. Helgason · Off: M. Jacobsen
83′SUBSTITUTION · 75' 07 Vestur · On: L. Gardar · Off: E. Petersen
84′SUBSTITUTION · 79' 07 Vestur · On: P. Vitor · Off: C. Gedsted
84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' EB / Streymur · On: J. Hummeland · Off: M. Geyti
88′SUBSTITUTION · 83' EB / Streymur · On: M. Jonsson · Off: B. L. Sowe Corrected
88′SUBSTITUTION · 85' 07 Vestur · On: J. Nordendal · Off: J. Steig
88′SUBSTITUTION · 85' 07 Vestur · On: J. Nielsen · Off: E. Jakobsen
FTFULL TIME 07 Vestur 3–0 EB / Streymur
FT07 Vestur 3–0 EB / Streymur · 07 Vestur win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

07 Vestur win39%

Draw26%

EB / Streymur win35%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 18:30

Referee · R. Gaardbo

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

07 Vestur

Formation not confirmed

12 S. Steig

7 J. van Der Heyden

8 H. Nielsen

11 C. Gedsted

18 J. Prior

21 E. Petersen

22 O. Arntsen

23 J. Steig

24 E. Jakobsen

30 O. Bodker

52 M. Jacobsen

Coach · Michael Schjonberg

Substitutes

6 · E. Frodason

10 · J. Samuelsen

15 · R. Helgason

17 · P. Vitor

19 · J. Nielsen

20 · J. Nordendal

28 · L. Gardar

EB / Streymur

Formation not confirmed

1 J. Davidsen

2 M. Geyti

4 R. Egilstoft

5 M. Hellisa

7 B. Egilsson

11 K. Eliasen

18 M. Nielsen

21 H. Bo

22 G. Dahl-Olsen

25 O. Poulsen

26 A. Olsen

Coach · Sigfridur Clementsen

Substitutes

16 · F. Kruse

14 · V. Sorensen

17 · F. Holm

19 · T. Miezan

24 · J. Hummeland

27 · B. L. Sowe

29 · L. Norby

28 · M. Jonsson

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

07 Vestur

Formation not confirmed

12 S. Steig

7 J. van Der Heyden

8 H. Nielsen

11 C. Gedsted

18 J. Prior

21 E. Petersen

22 O. Arntsen

23 J. Steig

24 E. Jakobsen

30 O. Bodker

52 M. Jacobsen

Coach · Michael Schjonberg

Substitutes

6 · E. Frodason

10 · J. Samuelsen

15 · R. Helgason

17 · P. Vitor

19 · J. Nielsen

20 · J. Nordendal

28 · L. Gardar

EB / Streymur

Formation not confirmed

1 J. Davidsen

2 M. Geyti

4 R. Egilstoft

5 M. Hellisa

7 B. Egilsson

11 K. Eliasen

18 M. Nielsen

21 H. Bo

22 G. Dahl-Olsen

25 O. Poulsen

26 A. Olsen

Coach · Sigfridur Clementsen

Substitutes

16 · F. Kruse

14 · V. Sorensen

17 · F. Holm

19 · T. Miezan

24 · J. Hummeland

27 · B. L. Sowe

29 · L. Norby

28 · M. Jonsson

Our number · 07 vestur winPublished 10 Oct 18:40

39% The market37%

Us39%

~~Market~~37%

We make 07 Vestur a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 37%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.5–1.4.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · 07 vestur win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 37% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
07 Vestur win	39%	37%	+2
Draw	26%	26%	0
EB / Streymur win	35%	36%	−1
Over 2.5 goals	55%	58%	−4
Both teams to score	58%	61%	−4
Over 1.5 goals	78%	79%	0
Over 3.5 goals	32%	38%	−5
07 Vestur or draw	65%	64%	+1
07 Vestur clean sheet	25%	–	–
EB / Streymur clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.0%

0123450 6.4 7.4 5.5 2.6 1 8.0 12.0 7.9 3.7 2 6.2 8.5 5.8 2.7 3 3.1 4.2 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+07 Vestur down, EB / Streymur across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 790 Meistaradeildin matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Meistaradeildin matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.8% of games this season, across 115 played.

Head to head

17 previous meetings, 3.76 goals a meeting; 11 of 17 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

07 Vestur at home: 1.50 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). EB / Streymur away: 1.67 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.48 goals for 07 Vestur, 1.39 for EB / Streymur. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

17 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.76

~~Over 2.5~~11 of 17

~~Both scored~~8 of 17

~~Last meetings~~VES 3–2 EBS · EBS 0–2 VES · VES 3–3 EBS · EBS 1–0 VES

Form · last six in Meistaradeildin

07 VESTUR

WLDDLD3–2 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 3–3

EB / STREYMUR

LLWLWW2–3 · 2–4 · 2–0 · 0–3 · 2–1 · 3–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	NSI Runavik	23	+21	48
2	KI Klaksvik	23	+24	45
3	HB Torshavn	23	+16	41
4	Vikingur Gota	23	+7	35
5	B36 Torshavn	23	+5	35
6	EB / Streymur	23	−8	26
7	AB	23	−11	24
8	Skála	23	−12	23
9	07 Vestur	23	−20	19
10	B68	23	−22	17