07 Vestur v B68 prediction · Meistaradeildin

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

07 VesturDrawB68

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · 07 Vestur 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

07 Vestur are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: 07 Vestur 44%, draw 25%, B68 30%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on 07 Vestur v B68Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

07 Vestur win44%

Draw25%

B68 win30%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 26

RefereeH. Vidoy

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

07 Vestur

B68

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Meistaradeildin

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	07 Vestur	25	−18	22
10	B68	25	−22	20

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · 07 vestur winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

44% The market43%

Us44%

~~Market~~43%

We make 07 Vestur a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.6–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · 07 Vestur v B68~~1.55 – 1.24

~~Form · last six in Meistaradeildin this season · since 23 Aug~~W1 D3 L2 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 22 v 20~~9 v 10

~~The market · 07 Vestur win~~43% · ours 44%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · 07 Vestur win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
07 Vestur win	44%	43%	+1
Draw	25%	27%	−2
B68 win	30%	30%	0
Over 2.5 goals	53%	54%	−1
Both teams to score	56%	58%	−2
Over 1.5 goals	77%	76%	+1
Over 3.5 goals	31%	33%	−2
07 Vestur or draw	70%	70%	0
07 Vestur clean sheet	29%	–	–
B68 clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%

0123450 6.5 7.5 4.7 1 9.5 11.8 7.2 3.0 2 7.4 8.9 5.5 2.3 3 3.8 4.7 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+07 Vestur down, B68 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 800 Meistaradeildin matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Meistaradeildin matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.2% of games this season, across 125 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.60 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

07 Vestur at home: 1.67 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). B68 away: 0.67 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.55 goals for 07 Vestur, 1.24 for B68. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.60

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~B 2–1 VES · VES 0–2 B · B 1–1 VES · VES 3–1 B

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Meistaradeildin this season · since 23 Aug

07 VESTUR

DDLDWL0–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 3–3 · 3–0 · 0–1

B68

LDDLLW0–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 1–2 · 1–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	NSI Runavik	25	+23	54
2	KI Klaksvik	25	+26	48
3	HB Torshavn	25	+14	44
4	Vikingur Gota	25	+10	41
5	B36 Torshavn	25	+6	39
6	EB / Streymur	25	−12	26
7	Skála	25	−13	24
8	AB	25	−14	24
9	07 Vestur	25	−18	22
10	B68	25	−22	20