Víkingur II v B36 II prediction · 1. Deild

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 20:08

Víkingur II 3–1 B36 II VÍKINGUR II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT3–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Víkingur II win~~68%

~~The market said~~62%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.158

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.216

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 11 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Víkingur II win at 68%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Víkingur II 68% before kick-off, 67% now. 0–0 · 67–15–18
1′KICK-OFF Víkingur II v B36 II
11′Víkingur II score on 11′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 82–10–8
11′We said Víkingur II at 68% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 1–0 · 82–10–8
11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Víkingur II 1–0 B36 II
11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' Víkingur II win: 68% at kick-off, 82% now
37′Víkingur II find the net on 36′. 2–0. 2–0 · 93–5–2
37′We said Víkingur II at 68% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 2–0 · 93–5–2
37′⚽ GOAL · 36' Víkingur II 2–0 B36 II
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Víkingur II win: 68% at kick-off, 93% now
38′The goal count is tracking the 4.9 we expected. 2–0 · 93–5–2
40′A goal for Víkingur II on 40′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 98–1–0
40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Víkingur II 3–0 B36 II
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Víkingur II win: 68% at kick-off, 98% now
41′We said Víkingur II at 68% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 3–0 · 98–1–0
45′HALF-TIME Víkingur II 3–0 B36 II
46′SECOND HALF Víkingur II 3–0 B36 II
67′We said Víkingur II at 68% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
81′80′: J. Okornoe on the scoresheet for B36 II, making it 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
81′⚽ GOAL · 80' Víkingur II 3–1 B36 II · J. Okornoe (assist A. Henriksen)
FTFULL TIME Víkingur II 3–1 B36 II
FTVíkingur II 3–1 B36 II · Víkingur II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 3–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Víkingur II are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Víkingur II 68%, draw 15%, B36 II 18%. Over 2.5 goals 85%, both teams to score 77%.

The AI’s read on Víkingur II v B36 IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Víkingur II win68%

Draw15%

B36 II win18%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 17:30

RoundMatchday 26

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Víkingur II

B36 II

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Deild (Faroe Islands)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Víkingur II	25	+27	57
6	B36 II	25	−10	32

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · víkingur ii winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

68% The market62%

Us68%

~~Market~~62%

We make Víkingur II a 68% chance to win. The market has them at 62%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 3.2–1.7.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Víkingur II v B36 II~~3.24 – 1.67

~~Form · last six in 1. Deild this season · since 22 Aug~~W4 D0 L2 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 57 v 32~~2 v 6

~~The market · Víkingur II win~~62% · ours 68%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Víkingur II win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 62% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Víkingur II win	68%	62%	+6
Draw	15%	20%	−5
B36 II win	18%	18%	0
Over 2.5 goals	85%	77%	+8
Both teams to score	77%	71%	+6
Over 1.5 goals	95%	90%	+5
Over 3.5 goals	71%	59%	+12
Víkingur II or draw	82%	82%	0
Víkingur II clean sheet	19%	–	–
B36 II clean sheet	5%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–1 at 6.6%

0123450 1 2.8 4.2 3.5 2 4.1 6.5 5.3 2.9 3 4.2 6.6 5.4 3.0 4 3.3 5.2 4.3 2.4 5 2.1 3.4 2.8

under 2% 5% 12%+Víkingur II down, B36 II across0–5 goals a side shown (87.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 800 1. Deild matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Deild matches have gone over 2.5 in 80.0% of games this season, across 125 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 4.10 goals a meeting; 9 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Víkingur II at home: 3.00 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). B36 II away: 2.67 scored, 3.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.24 goals for Víkingur II, 1.67 for B36 II. Most likely score 3–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~4.10

~~Over 2.5~~9 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~BII 0–3 VIK · VIK 3–0 BII · VIK 0–1 BII · BII 3–3 VIK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Deild this season · since 22 Aug

VÍKINGUR II

LWWLWW0–3 · 2–0 · 3–2 · 0–4 · 4–3 · 8–3

B36 II

LLLWWW3–9 · 3–5 · 2–4 · 4–2 · 5–2 · 2–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	B71	25	+51	60
2	Víkingur II	25	+27	57
3	Suduroy	25	+41	53
4	ÍF II	25	+4	37
5	TB	25	−2	34
6	B36 II	25	−10	32
7	NSÍ II	25	−21	26
8	HB II	26	−10	25
9	Hoyvík	25	−36	23
10	EB / Streymur II	26	−44	11