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Model 1.2

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TB v B71

TB
0–4Full time
B71

1. Deild · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53
TB 0–4 B71 B71 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said B71 win59%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.253

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 12 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said B71 win at 59%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: B71 was 59% before kick-off and our model makes it 59% now. 0–0 · 22–19–59
  3. 1′KICK-OFF TB v B71
  4. 17′A goal for B71 on 17′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 8–14–78
  5. 17′We published B71 at 59%. Our model now makes it 78%. 0–1 · 8–14–78
  6. 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' TB 0–1 B71
  7. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' B71 win: 59% at kick-off, 78% now
  8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.6 we expected. 0–1 · 7–15–78
  9. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' B71 win: 59% at kick-off, 79% now
  10. 45′HALF-TIME TB 0–1 B71
  11. 46′S. Petersen scores for B71 on 18′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 6–16–79
  12. 46′SECOND HALF TB 0–1 B71
  13. 53′We published B71 at 59%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 5–16–80
  14. 72′We published B71 at 59%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–1 · 2–14–85
  15. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' B71 win: 59% at kick-off, 89% now
  16. 81′We published B71 at 59%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
  17. 82′B71 score on 82′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 0–1–99
  18. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' TB 0–2 B71
  19. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' B71 win: 59% at kick-off, 99% now
  20. 83′We published B71 at 59%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  21. 85′B71 find the net on 85′. 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
  22. 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' TB 0–3 B71
  23. 89′J. Canto scores for B71 on 89′ — 0–4. 0–4 · 0–0–100
  24. 89′4 goals already, more than the 3.6 we expected for the whole match. 0–4 · 0–0–100
  25. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' TB 0–4 B71 · J. Canto
  26. FTFULL TIME TB 0–4 B71
  27. FTTB 0–4 B71 · B71 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

B71 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: TB 22%, draw 19%, B71 59%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on TB v B71Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

TB win22%
Draw19%
B71 win59%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 27

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

TB

B71

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 1. Deild (Faroe Islands)

Last match: 17 Oct · 1. Deild (Faroe Islands)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1B7126+5763
5TB26−235

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · b71 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
59% The market–
Us59%

We make B71 a 59% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–2.3, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · TB v B711.31 – 2.29
Form · last six in 1. Deild this season · since 29 AugW2 D3 L1 · W4 D1 L1
Table places · points 35 v 635 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
TB win22%––
Draw19%––
B71 win59%––
Over 2.5 goals69%––
Both teams to score64%––
Over 1.5 goals87%––
Over 3.5 goals48%––
TB or draw41%––
TB clean sheet11%––
B71 clean sheet28%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.0%
0123450 2.9 6.6 7.1 5.4 3.2 1 3.9 8.1 9.0 6.8 3.9 2 2.5 5.4 5.9 4.4 2.5 3 2.4 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+TB down, B71 across0–5 goals a side shown (96.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting3.12
Over 2.55 of 8
Both scored5 of 8
Last meetingsTB 1–6 B · B 4–0 TB · TB 2–1 B · B 1–1 TB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Deild this season · since 29 Aug

TB

WLDDWD5–1 · 2–3 · 4–4 · 0–0 · 4–1 · 0–0

B71

WWLWDW5–3 · 2–0 · 1–4 · 5–0 · 2–2 · 6–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1B7126+5763
2Víkingur II27+3063
3Suduroy26+4154
4ÍF II26−237
5TB26−235
6B36 II27−635
7Hoyvík27−3329
8NSÍ II27−2426
9HB II27−1625
10EB / Streymur II27−4511

The competition's standings before kick-off.