Suduroy v TB prediction · 1. Deild

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10

Suduroy 0–0 TB SUDUROY WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Suduroy win~~65%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.166

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Suduroy are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Suduroy 65%, draw 16%, TB 18%. Over 2.5 goals 79%, both teams to score 71%.

The AI’s read on Suduroy v TBBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Suduroy win65%

Draw16%

TB win18%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:30

RoundMatchday 26

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Suduroy

TB

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Deild (Faroe Islands)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Suduroy	25	+41	53
5	TB	25	−2	34

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · suduroy winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

65% The market–

Us65%

We make Suduroy a 65% chance to win. The model expects 2.8–1.5, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Suduroy v TB~~2.84 – 1.46

~~Form · last six in 1. Deild this season · since 22 Aug~~W5 D0 L1 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 53 v 34~~3 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Suduroy win	65%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
TB win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	79%	–	–
Both teams to score	71%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	61%	–	–
Suduroy or draw	82%	–	–
Suduroy clean sheet	24%	–	–
TB clean sheet	7%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.8%

0123450 2.3 1 4.2 5.7 4.2 2.1 2 5.5 7.8 5.6 2.8 3 5.1 7.2 5.2 2.5 4 3.6 5.1 3.6 5 2.1 2.9 2.1

under 2% 5% 12%+Suduroy down, TB across0–5 goals a side shown (91.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 800 1. Deild matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Deild matches have gone over 2.5 in 80.0% of games this season, across 125 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 3.22 goals a meeting; 5 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Suduroy at home: 3.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). TB away: 3.17 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.84 goals for Suduroy, 1.46 for TB. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.22

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 9

~~Both scored~~7 of 9

~~Last meetings~~SUD 2–2 TB · TB 1–4 SUD · TB 2–2 SUD · TB 2–3 SUD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Deild this season · since 22 Aug

SUDUROY

WWWWLW4–0 · 3–0 · 4–2 · 4–1 · 3–4 · 4–3

TB

DWLDDW2–2 · 5–1 · 2–3 · 4–4 · 0–0 · 4–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	B71	25	+51	60
2	Víkingur II	25	+27	57
3	Suduroy	25	+41	53
4	ÍF II	25	+4	37
5	TB	25	−2	34
6	B36 II	25	−10	32
7	NSÍ II	25	−21	26
8	Hoyvík	25	−36	23
9	HB II	25	−12	22
10	EB / Streymur II	25	−42	11