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Suduroy v HB II

Suduroy

4–3Full time

HB II

1. Deild · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Suduroy 4–3 HB II SUDUROY WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Suduroy win~~75%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.092

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 12 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Suduroy win at 75%.
5′7′ and it is 0–0: Suduroy have scored. 0–0 · 75–15–11
5′KICK-OFF Suduroy v HB II
9′⚽ GOAL · 1' Suduroy 1–0 HB II · M. D. Djurhuus (assist O. Thomsen)
22′⚽ GOAL · 20' Suduroy 2–0 HB II
26′Suduroy ahead on 20′ through S. Bech. 2–0. 2–0 · 97–3–1
26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Suduroy win: 75% at kick-off, 97% now
39′⚽ GOAL · 38' Suduroy 2–1 HB II
44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Suduroy 3–1 HB II
45′Suduroy ahead on 44′ through P. Augustinussen. 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Suduroy 4–1 HB II
45′HALF-TIME Suduroy 4–1 HB II
47′SECOND HALF Suduroy 4–1 HB II
67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Suduroy 4–2 HB II
90′⚽ GOAL · 92' Suduroy 4–3 HB II
FTFULL TIME Suduroy 4–3 HB II
FTSuduroy 4–3 HB II · Suduroy win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Suduroy win75%

Draw14%

HB II win11%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · suduroy winPublished 10 Oct 15:19

75% The market–

Us75%

We make Suduroy a 75% chance to win. The model expects 2.9–1.0, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Suduroy win	75%	–	–
Draw	14%	–	–
HB II win	11%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	74%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	54%	–	–
Suduroy or draw	89%	–	–
Suduroy clean sheet	37%	–	–
HB II clean sheet	6%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 8.4%

0123450 2.1 2.3 1 6.1 5.8 3.0 2 8.4 8.3 4.2 3 8.0 7.8 4.0 4 5.8 5.7 2.9 5 3.5 3.4

under 2% 5% 12%+Suduroy down, HB II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 795 1. Deild matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1. Deild matches have gone over 2.5 in 79.2% of games this season, across 120 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 4.12 goals a meeting; 6 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Suduroy at home: 3.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). HB II away: 1.17 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.90 goals for Suduroy, 1.01 for HB II. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~4.12

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 8

~~Both scored~~6 of 8

~~Last meetings~~HBI 2–0 SUD · SUD 2–1 HBI · HBI 2–2 SUD · HBI 4–6 SUD

Form · last six in 1. Deild

SUDUROY

WWWWWL6–1 · 4–0 · 3–0 · 4–2 · 4–1 · 3–4

HB II

LWLLDD1–4 · 5–0 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 4–4 · 1–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	B71	24	+51	59
2	Víkingur II	24	+22	54
3	Suduroy	24	+40	50
4	ÍF II	24	+7	37
5	TB	24	−5	31
6	B36 II	24	−11	29
7	NSÍ II	24	−21	25
8	Hoyvík	24	−31	23
9	HB II	24	−11	22
10	EB / Streymur II	24	−41	11