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ÍF II v Suduroy

ÍF II
6–3Full time
Suduroy

1. Deild · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:45
ÍF II 6–3 Suduroy SUDUROY WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Suduroy win56%
The market said60%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.891
The market’s Brier score1.042

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay24 notes · 24 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Suduroy win at 56%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Suduroy 56% before kick-off, 56% now. 0–0 · 26–18–56
  3. 1′KICK-OFF ÍF II v Suduroy
  4. 27′A goal for ÍF II on 27′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 49–22–29
  5. 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' ÍF II 1–0 Suduroy
  6. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' Suduroy win: 56% at kick-off, 29% now
  7. 27′THE CALL SWINGS · 27' ÍF II win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Suduroy win 51%)
  8. 28′We said Suduroy at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–0 · 49–22–29
  9. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Suduroy win: 56% at kick-off, 26% now
  10. 37′Suduroy score on 37′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 26–25–49
  11. 37′The goal count is tracking the 4.5 we expected. 1–1 · 26–25–49
  12. 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' ÍF II 1–1 Suduroy
  13. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Suduroy win: 56% at kick-off, 49% now
  14. 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Suduroy win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was ÍF II win 51%)
  15. 40′Suduroy find the net on 40′. 1–2. 1–2 · 9–16–74
  16. 40′⚽ GOAL · 40' ÍF II 1–2 Suduroy
  17. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Suduroy win: 56% at kick-off, 74% now
  18. 41′We said Suduroy at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 1–2 · 9–16–74
  19. 45′HALF-TIME ÍF II 2–2 Suduroy
  20. 46′We said Suduroy at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–2 · 9–17–75
  21. 46′A goal for ÍF II on 45′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 25–28–46
  22. 46′⚽ GOAL · 45+1' ÍF II 2–2 Suduroy
  23. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Suduroy win: 56% at kick-off, 46% now
  24. 46′SECOND HALF ÍF II 2–2 Suduroy
  25. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+2' Suduroy win: 56% at kick-off, 46% now
  26. 49′ÍF II score on 49′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 55–25–20
  27. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' ÍF II 3–2 Suduroy
  28. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Suduroy win: 56% at kick-off, 20% now
  29. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' ÍF II win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Suduroy win 45%)
  30. 50′We said Suduroy at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 20%. 3–2 · 55–25–20
  31. 50′5 goals already, more than the 4.5 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 55–25–20
  32. 51′We said Suduroy at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 3–2 · 56–25–19
  33. 54′ÍF II find the net on 53′. 4–2. 4–2 · 82–12–6
  34. 54′We said Suduroy at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 4–2 · 82–12–6
  35. 54′⚽ GOAL · 53' ÍF II 4–2 Suduroy
  36. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Suduroy win: 56% at kick-off, 6% now
  37. 55′That is 6, and we only asked for 4.5 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 83–12–5
  38. 56′ÍF II ahead on 54′ through M. Klein. 4–2. 4–2 · 83–12–5
  39. 59′A goal for ÍF II on 58′ — 5–2. 5–2 · 96–3–1
  40. 59′⚽ GOAL · 58' ÍF II 5–2 Suduroy
  41. 60′We said Suduroy at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 5–2 · 96–3–1
  42. 60′7 goals already, more than the 4.5 we expected for the whole match. 5–2 · 96–3–1
  43. 76′Suduroy score on 76′ to make it 5–3. 5–3 · 95–4–1
  44. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' ÍF II 5–3 Suduroy
  45. 77′That is 8, and we only asked for 4.5 across ninety minutes. 5–3 · 95–4–1
  46. 80′ÍF II find the net on 80′. 6–3. 6–3 · 100–0–0
  47. 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' ÍF II 6–3 Suduroy
  48. 81′9 goals already, more than the 4.5 we expected for the whole match. 6–3 · 100–0–0
  49. FTFULL TIME ÍF II 6–3 Suduroy
  50. FTÍF II 6–3 Suduroy · Suduroy win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Suduroy are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: ÍF II 26%, draw 18%, Suduroy 56%. Over 2.5 goals 81%, both teams to score 76%.

The AI’s read on ÍF II v SuduroyBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

ÍF II win26%
Draw18%
Suduroy win56%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:45

RoundMatchday 27

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

ÍF II

Suduroy

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 1. Deild (Faroe Islands)

Last match: 17 Oct · 1. Deild (Faroe Islands)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Suduroy26+4154
4ÍF II26−237

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · suduroy winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
56% The market60%
Us56%
Market60%

We make Suduroy a 56% chance to win. The market has them at 60%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–2.7.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · ÍF II v Suduroy1.79 – 2.66
Form · last six in 1. Deild this season · since 29 AugW2 D1 L3 · W4 D1 L1
Table places · points 37 v 544 v 3
The market · Suduroy win60% · ours 56%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60%65% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 15:07
Our probability · Suduroy win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 60% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
ÍF II win26%20%+6
Draw18%20%−2
Suduroy win56%60%−4
Over 2.5 goals81%77%+4
Both teams to score76%72%+4
Over 1.5 goals93%90%+3
Over 3.5 goals64%61%+3
ÍF II or draw44%40%+4
ÍF II clean sheet8%––
Suduroy clean sheet17%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.2%
0123450 3.4 4.2 3.6 2.4 1 2.4 5.6 7.2 6.3 4.2 2.32 2.0 5.0 6.4 5.5 3.7 2.03 3.0 3.8 3.3 2.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+ÍF II down, Suduroy across0–5 goals a side shown (92.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting5.00
Over 2.53 of 3
Both scored2 of 3
Last meetingsSUD 1–4 IFI · SUD 6–1 IFI · IFI 3–0 SUD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Deild this season · since 29 Aug

ÍF II

WLWDLL3–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–4 · 0–6

SUDUROY

WWWLWD3–0 · 4–2 · 4–1 · 3–4 · 4–3 · 0–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1B7126+5763
2Víkingur II27+3063
3Suduroy26+4154
4ÍF II26−237
5TB26−235
6B36 II27−635
7Hoyvík27−3329
8NSÍ II27−2426
9HB II27−1625
10EB / Streymur II27−4511

The competition's standings before kick-off.