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Hoyvík v Víkingur II

Hoyvík

3–8Full time

Víkingur II

1. Deild · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 18:32

Hoyvík 3–8 Víkingur II VÍKINGUR II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Víkingur II win~~65%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.188

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 25 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Víkingur II win at 65%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Víkingur II 65% before kick-off, 65% now. 0–0 · 18–17–65
1′KICK-OFF Hoyvík v Víkingur II
11′🟥 RED CARD · 11' Hoyvík
12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Hoyvík 0–1 Víkingur II
21′⚽ GOAL · 20' Hoyvík 0–2 Víkingur II
22′A goal for Víkingur II on 20′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 2–5–93
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Víkingur II win: 65% at kick-off, 93% now
43′Hoyvík are down to ten from 11′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–2 · 1–4–94
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Hoyvík 0–3 Víkingur II
45′HALF-TIME Hoyvík 0–3 Víkingur II
46′SECOND HALF Hoyvík 0–3 Víkingur II
47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Hoyvík 1–3 Víkingur II
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Víkingur II win: 65% at kick-off, 94% now
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Víkingur II win: 65% at kick-off, 94% now
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Víkingur II win: 65% at kick-off, 94% now
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Víkingur II win: 65% at kick-off, 94% now
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Víkingur II win: 65% at kick-off, 94% now
52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Víkingur II win: 65% at kick-off, 94% now
55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Hoyvík 1–4 Víkingur II
64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Hoyvík 2–4 Víkingur II
65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Hoyvík 2–5 Víkingur II
71′⚽ GOAL · 70' Hoyvík 2–6 Víkingur II
71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Hoyvík 2–7 Víkingur II
73′🟥 RED CARD · 73' Hoyvík
76′⚽ GOAL · 75' Hoyvík 3–7 Víkingur II
81′⚽ GOAL · 80' Hoyvík 3–8 Víkingur II
90′🟥 RED CARD · 92' Hoyvík
FTFULL TIME Hoyvík 3–8 Víkingur II
FTHoyvík 3–8 Víkingur II · Víkingur II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Hoyvík win19%

Draw17%

Víkingur II win65%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · víkingur ii winPublished 10 Oct 16:17

65% The market–

Us65%

We make Víkingur II a 65% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–2.8, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hoyvík win	19%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Víkingur II win	65%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	78%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	60%	–	–
Hoyvík or draw	35%	–	–
Hoyvík clean sheet	7%	–	–
Víkingur II clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.0%

0123450 4.5 5.8 5.2 3.6 2.01 2.5 6.0 8.0 7.2 5.0 2.82 4.4 5.7 5.1 3.5 3 2.1 2.8 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hoyvík down, Víkingur II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 795 1. Deild matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1. Deild matches have gone over 2.5 in 79.2% of games this season, across 120 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 4.12 goals a meeting; 6 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hoyvík at home: 1.33 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Víkingur II away: 2.83 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.44 goals for Hoyvík, 2.75 for Víkingur II. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~4.12

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 8

~~Both scored~~6 of 8

~~Last meetings~~VIK 2–0 HOY · HOY 1–4 VIK · HOY 1–4 VIK · VIK 3–1 HOY

Form · last six in 1. Deild

HOYVÍK

LLLWLD0–3 · 0–5 · 0–3 · 2–1 · 2–4 · 0–0

VÍKINGUR II

WLWWLW4–1 · 0–3 · 2–0 · 3–2 · 0–4 · 4–3

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	B71	24	+51	59
2	Víkingur II	24	+22	54
3	Suduroy	24	+40	50
4	ÍF II	24	+7	37
5	TB	24	−5	31
6	B36 II	24	−11	29
7	NSÍ II	24	−21	25
8	Hoyvík	24	−31	23
9	HB II	24	−11	22
10	EB / Streymur II	24	−41	11