HB II v EB / Streymur II prediction · 1. Deild

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 14:49

HB II 2–0 EB / Streymur II HB II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said HB II win~~59%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.258

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 11 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said HB II win at 59%.
1′Much as we predicted: HB II was 59% before kick-off and our model makes it 58% now. 0–0 · 58–20–22
1′KICK-OFF HB II v EB / Streymur II
3′HB II score on 3′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 78–13–9
3′⚽ GOAL · 3' HB II 1–0 EB / Streymur II
3′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 3' HB II win: 59% at kick-off, 78% now
4′We published HB II at 59%. Our model now makes it 78%. 1–0 · 78–13–9
5′HB II find the net on 5′. 2–0. 2–0 · 91–6–3
5′⚽ GOAL · 5' HB II 2–0 EB / Streymur II
5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' HB II win: 59% at kick-off, 91% now
6′We published HB II at 59%. Our model now makes it 91%. 2–0 · 91–6–3
42′Goals are coming at about the 3.5 we expected. 2–0 · 94–5–1
45′HALF-TIME HB II 2–0 EB / Streymur II
46′We published HB II at 59%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
46′SECOND HALF HB II 2–0 EB / Streymur II
60′A goal for HB II on 59′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
60′We published HB II at 59%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
60′⚽ GOAL · 59' HB II 3–0 EB / Streymur II
60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' HB II win: 59% at kick-off, over 99% now
61′GOAL DISALLOWED · 61' HB II
FTFULL TIME HB II 2–0 EB / Streymur II
FTHB II 2–0 EB / Streymur II · HB II win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

HB II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: HB II 59%, draw 20%, EB / Streymur II 22%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on HB II v EB / Streymur IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

HB II win59%

Draw20%

EB / Streymur II win22%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 26

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

HB II

EB / Streymur II

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Deild (Faroe Islands)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	HB II	25	−12	22
10	EB / Streymur II	25	−42	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hb ii winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

59% The market–

Us59%

We make HB II a 59% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.3, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · HB II v EB / Streymur II~~2.20 – 1.26

~~Form · last six in 1. Deild this season · since 22 Aug~~W1 D2 L3 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 22 v 11~~9 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
HB II win	59%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
EB / Streymur II win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
HB II or draw	78%	–	–
HB II clean sheet	29%	–	–
EB / Streymur II clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.2%

0123450 3.3 4.3 2.6 1 7.2 8.5 5.4 2.3 2 7.6 9.2 5.8 2.5 3 5.5 6.8 4.2 4 3.1 3.8 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+HB II down, EB / Streymur II across0–5 goals a side shown (96.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 800 1. Deild matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Deild matches have gone over 2.5 in 80.0% of games this season, across 125 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 5 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

HB II at home: 1.67 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). EB / Streymur II away: 0.67 scored, 4.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.20 goals for HB II, 1.26 for EB / Streymur II. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 8

~~Both scored~~5 of 8

~~Last meetings~~EBS 1–1 HBI · EBS 0–1 HBI · EBS 2–3 HBI · HBI 4–0 EBS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Deild this season · since 22 Aug

HB II

WLLDDL5–0 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 4–4 · 1–1 · 3–4

EB / STREYMUR II

DLLWLL2–2 · 1–3 · 1–4 · 4–0 · 0–5 · 1–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	B71	25	+51	60
2	Víkingur II	25	+27	57
3	Suduroy	25	+41	53
4	ÍF II	25	+4	37
5	TB	25	−2	34
6	B36 II	25	−10	32
7	NSÍ II	25	−21	26
8	Hoyvík	25	−36	23
9	HB II	25	−12	22
10	EB / Streymur II	25	−42	11