B71 v ÍF II prediction · 1. Deild

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10

B71 6–0 ÍF II B71 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said B71 win~~70%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.135

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 13 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said B71 win at 70%.
1′Much as we predicted: B71 was 70% before kick-off and our model makes it 70% now. 0–0 · 70–15–15
1′KICK-OFF B71 v ÍF II
6′Much as we predicted: B71 was 70% before kick-off and our model makes it 69% now. 0–0 · 69–16–15
28′A goal for B71 on 28′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 84–11–5
28′We published B71 at 70%. Our model now makes it 84%. 1–0 · 84–11–5
28′⚽ GOAL · 28' B71 1–0 ÍF II
28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' B71 win: 70% at kick-off, 84% now
33′B71 score on 33′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 95–4–1
33′⚽ GOAL · 33' B71 2–0 ÍF II
33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' B71 win: 70% at kick-off, 95% now
34′We published B71 at 70%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
34′Goals are coming at about the 4.3 we expected. 2–0 · 95–4–1
45′HALF-TIME B71 4–0 ÍF II
46′B71 find the net on 45′. 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
46′⚽ GOAL · 45+2' B71 3–0 ÍF II
46′SECOND HALF B71 4–0 ÍF II
48′A goal for B71 on 45′ — 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
48′We published B71 at 70%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–0 · 100–0–0
48′B71 score on 48′ to make it 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
48′⚽ GOAL · 45+3' B71 4–0 ÍF II
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+3' B71 win: 70% at kick-off, over 99% now
48′⚽ GOAL · 48' B71 5–0 ÍF II
49′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.3 across ninety minutes. 5–0 · 100–0–0
58′B71 find the net on 58′. 6–0. 6–0 · 100–0–0
58′6 goals already, more than the 4.3 we expected for the whole match. 6–0 · 100–0–0
58′⚽ GOAL · 58' B71 6–0 ÍF II
FTFULL TIME B71 6–0 ÍF II
FTB71 6–0 ÍF II · B71 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

B71 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: B71 70%, draw 15%, ÍF II 15%. Over 2.5 goals 79%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on B71 v ÍF IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

B71 win70%

Draw15%

ÍF II win15%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 26

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

B71

ÍF II

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Deild (Faroe Islands)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · b71 winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

70% The market–

Us70%

We make B71 a 70% chance to win. The model expects 3.0–1.3, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · B71 v ÍF II~~2.95 – 1.30

~~Form · last six in 1. Deild this season · since 22 Aug~~W4 D1 L1 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 60 v 37~~1 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
B71 win	70%	–	–
Draw	15%	–	–
ÍF II win	15%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	79%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	61%	–	–
B71 or draw	85%	–	–
B71 clean sheet	28%	–	–
ÍF II clean sheet	6%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.9%

0123450 2.2 1 4.5 5.6 3.7 2 6.2 7.9 5.1 2.3 3 5.9 7.5 4.9 2.1 4 4.4 5.5 3.5 5 2.6 3.3 2.1

under 2% 5% 12%+B71 down, ÍF II across0–5 goals a side shown (90.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 800 1. Deild matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Deild matches have gone over 2.5 in 80.0% of games this season, across 125 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 3.56 goals a meeting; 9 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

B71 at home: 4.50 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). ÍF II away: 2.50 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.95 goals for B71, 1.30 for ÍF II. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.56

~~Over 2.5~~9 of 9

~~Both scored~~7 of 9

~~Last meetings~~IFI 1–2 B · IFI 2–2 B · B 3–0 IFI · IFI 1–3 B

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Deild this season · since 22 Aug

B71

WWWLWD3–0 · 5–3 · 2–0 · 1–4 · 5–0 · 2–2

ÍF II

WWLWDL9–3 · 3–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–4

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	B71	25	+51	60
2	Víkingur II	25	+27	57
3	Suduroy	25	+41	53
4	ÍF II	25	+4	37
5	TB	25	−2	34
6	B36 II	25	−10	32
7	NSÍ II	25	−21	26
8	Hoyvík	25	−36	23
9	HB II	25	−12	22
10	EB / Streymur II	25	−42	11