B36 II v HB II prediction · 1. Deild

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 20:31

B36 II 6–0 HB II B36 II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said B36 II win~~51%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.362

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay17 notes · 13 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said B36 II win at 51%.
1′Much as we predicted: B36 II was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–21–28
1′KICK-OFF B36 II v HB II
4′B36 II find the net on 4′. 1–0. 1–0 · 72–15–13
4′⚽ GOAL · 4' B36 II 1–0 HB II
4′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 4' B36 II win: 51% at kick-off, 72% now
5′We published B36 II at 51%. Our model now makes it 72%. 1–0 · 72–15–13
6′B36 II ahead on 5′ through J. Okornoe. 1–0. 1–0 · 72–15–13
12′A goal for B36 II on 12′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 88–8–4
12′⚽ GOAL · 12' B36 II 2–0 HB II
12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' B36 II win: 51% at kick-off, 88% now
13′We published B36 II at 51%. Our model now makes it 88%. 2–0 · 88–8–4
30′We published B36 II at 51%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–0 · 90–7–3
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' B36 II win: 51% at kick-off, 91% now
40′Goals are coming at about the 3.7 we expected. 2–0 · 91–7–2
43′B36 II score on 43′ to make it 3–0. 3–0 · 98–2–0
43′We published B36 II at 51%. Our model now makes it 98%. 3–0 · 98–2–0
43′⚽ GOAL · 43' B36 II 3–0 HB II
45′HALF-TIME B36 II 4–0 HB II
46′B36 II find the net on 45′. 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
46′We published B36 II at 51%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–0 · 100–0–0
46′4 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 4–0 · 100–0–0
46′⚽ GOAL · 45' B36 II 4–0 HB II
46′SECOND HALF B36 II 4–0 HB II
49′A goal for B36 II on 49′ — 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
49′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.7 across ninety minutes. 5–0 · 100–0–0
49′⚽ GOAL · 49' B36 II 5–0 HB II
88′B36 II score on 88′ to make it 6–0. 6–0 · 100–0–0
88′⚽ GOAL · 88' B36 II 6–0 HB II
89′6 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 6–0 · 100–0–0
FTFULL TIME B36 II 6–0 HB II
FTB36 II 6–0 HB II · B36 II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

B36 II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: B36 II 51%, draw 21%, HB II 28%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on B36 II v HB IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

B36 II win51%

Draw21%

HB II win28%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 27

VenueGundadalur

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

B36 II

HB II

6Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · 1. Deild (Faroe Islands)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	B36 II	26	−12	32
9	HB II	26	−10	25

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · b36 ii winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make B36 II a 51% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.5, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · B36 II v HB II~~2.14 – 1.55

~~Form · last six in 1. Deild this season · since 29 Aug~~W3 D0 L3 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 32 v 25~~6 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
B36 II win	51%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
HB II win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
B36 II or draw	72%	–	–
B36 II clean sheet	22%	–	–
HB II clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.6%

0123450 2.7 4.0 3.1 1 5.5 8.3 6.3 3.3 2 5.8 8.6 6.6 3.4 3 4.1 6.1 4.7 2.4 4 2.2 3.3 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+B36 II down, HB II across0–5 goals a side shown (96.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 805 1. Deild matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Deild matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.5% of games this season, across 130 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

B36 II at home: 2.00 scored, 3.17 conceded a game (last 6). HB II away: 1.33 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.14 goals for B36 II, 1.55 for HB II. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~HBI 0–3 BII · HBI 1–1 BII · HBI 1–4 BII · HBI 0–4 BII

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Deild this season · since 29 Aug

B36 II

LLWWWL3–5 · 2–4 · 4–2 · 5–2 · 2–1 · 1–3

HB II

LLDDLW0–2 · 0–2 · 4–4 · 1–1 · 3–4 · 2–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	B71	26	+57	63
2	Víkingur II	26	+29	60
3	Suduroy	26	+41	54
4	ÍF II	26	−2	37
5	TB	26	−2	35
6	B36 II	26	−12	32
7	NSÍ II	26	−23	26
8	Hoyvík	26	−34	26
9	HB II	26	−10	25
10	EB / Streymur II	26	−44	11