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Welayta Dicha v Fasil Ketema
Premier League · SAT 10 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said a draw at 37%.
- 5′KICK-OFF Welayta Dicha v Fasil Ketema
- 7′Little has changed for our model: the draw 37% before kick-off, 35% now. 0–0 · 31–35–34
- 45′We said the draw at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 50%. 0–0 · 24–50–26
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Draw: 37% at kick-off, 50% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Welayta Dicha 0–0 Fasil Ketema
- 47′SECOND HALF Welayta Dicha 0–0 Fasil Ketema
- FTFULL TIME Welayta Dicha 0–0 Fasil Ketema
- FTWelayta Dicha 0–0 Fasil Ketema · Draw: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 14:00
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make the draw a 37% chance. The market has it at 35%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 0.8–0.9.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 35% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Welayta Dicha win | 30% | 39% | −9 |
| Draw | 37% | 35% | +3 |
| Fasil Ketema win | 33% | 27% | +6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 29% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 35% | 37% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 53% | 53% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 10% | 13% | −3 |
| Welayta Dicha or draw | 67% | 73% | −6 |
| Welayta Dicha clean sheet | 41% | – | – |
| Fasil Ketema clean sheet | 44% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
12 meetings since 2020Form · last six in Premier League
WELAYTA DICHA
FASIL KETEMA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Adama Kenema | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Halaba Ketema | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 |  Welwalo Adigrat Uni | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 |  Mebrat Hayl | 1 | −1 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.