Sidama Bunna v Awassa Kenema prediction · Premier League

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

A draw is the likeliest result.

The Pitchside prediction: Sidama Bunna 33%, draw 35%, Awassa Kenema 31%. Over 2.5 goals 30%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on Sidama Bunna v Awassa KenemaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · postponed, not graded

Sidama Bunna win33%

Draw35%

Awassa Kenema win31%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sidama Bunna

Awassa Kenema

6Days since last match2

Last match: 18 Oct · CAF Champions League

Last match: 22 Oct · Premier League (Ethiopia)

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Awassa Kenema	3	−1	2
17	Sidama Bunna	1	−1	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · drawFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · postponed, not graded

35% The market–

Us35%

We make the draw a 35% chance. The model expects 1.0–0.9, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sidama Bunna v Awassa Kenema~~0.97 – 0.93

~~Form · Premier League this season · since 11 Oct~~W0 D0 L1 · W0 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 0 v 2~~17 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sidama Bunna win	33%	–	–
Draw	35%	–	–
Awassa Kenema win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	30%	–	–
Both teams to score	39%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	58%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	13%	–	–
Sidama Bunna or draw	69%	–	–
Sidama Bunna clean sheet	40%	–	–
Awassa Kenema clean sheet	38%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 17.0%

0123450 17.0 12.1 6.4 2.0 1 12.8 15.0 6.2 2 7.1 6.4 3.0 3 2.3 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sidama Bunna down, Awassa Kenema across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,584 Premier League matches up to 22 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 26.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.90 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sidama Bunna at home: 0.33 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Awassa Kenema away: 0.50 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.97 goals for Sidama Bunna, 0.93 for Awassa Kenema. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.90

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~AWA 1–2 SID · SID 1–0 AWA · AWA 1–1 SID · SID 0–1 AWA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 11 Oct

SIDAMA BUNNA

L0–1

AWASSA KENEMA

LDD0–1 · 1–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	3	+2	7
2	Bahardar	3	+2	6
3	Mekelakeya	3	+1	6
4	Negelle Arsi	3	+3	5
5	Halaba Ketema	3	+1	5
6	Adama Kenema	3	+1	5
7	Ethiopian Medhin	2	+2	4
8	Mebrat Hayl	3	0	4
9	Sheger Ketema	3	0	4
10	Ethiopia Bunna	3	−3	3
11	Fasil Ketema	2	0	2
12	Kedus Giorgis	3	−1	2
13	Awassa Kenema	3	−1	2
14	Welayta Dicha	3	−2	2
15	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	1	0	1
16	Hadiya Hosaena	2	−1	1
17	Sidama Bunna	1	−1	0
18	Gamo Chencha	2	−3	0