Mekelakeya v Ethiopia Nigd Bank

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Mekelakeya win at 35%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Mekelakeya was 35% before kick-off and our model makes it 35% now. 0–0 · 35–32–33
3. 1′KICK-OFF Mekelakeya v Ethiopia Nigd Bank
4. 27′THE CALL SWINGS · 27' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Mekelakeya win 32%)
5. 45′HALF-TIME Mekelakeya 0–0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
6. 46′SECOND HALF Mekelakeya 0–0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
7. 47′Ethiopia Nigd Bank score on 47′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 7–21–72
8. 47′We said Mekelakeya at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 0–1 · 7–21–72
9. 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Mekelakeya 0–1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
10. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Mekelakeya win: 35% at kick-off, 7% now
11. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Ethiopia Nigd Bank win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 21%)
12. 48′Goals are coming at about the 2.3 we expected. 0–1 · 7–21–72
13. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Mekelakeya win: 35% at kick-off, 5% now
14. 60′We said Mekelakeya at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–19–76
15. FTFULL TIME Mekelakeya 0–1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
16. FTMekelakeya 0–1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank · Mekelakeya win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.