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Mebrat Hayl v Adama Kenema

Mebrat Hayl
0–1Full time
Adama Kenema

Premier League · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 15:49
Mebrat Hayl 0–1 Adama Kenema DRAW · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said a draw35%
The market said34%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.701
The market’s Brier score0.718

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Mebrat Hayl win33%
Draw35%
Adama Kenema win32%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · drawPublished 9 Oct 13:02
35% The market34%
Us35%
Market34%

We make the draw a 35% chance. The market has it at 34%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.0–0.9.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Mebrat Hayl win33%35%−2
Draw35%34%+1
Adama Kenema win32%31%+1
Over 2.5 goals30%30%−1
Both teams to score39%39%0
Over 1.5 goals58%55%+3
Over 3.5 goals13%14%−1
Mebrat Hayl or draw68%69%−1
Mebrat Hayl clean sheet39%––
Adama Kenema clean sheet39%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 17.1%
0123450 17.1 12.2 6.6 2.1 1 12.5 15.1 6.2 2 6.9 6.4 3.0 3 2.3 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Mebrat Hayl down, Adama Kenema across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2022
Goals a meeting1.50
Over 2.51 of 6
Both scored0 of 6
Last meetingsADA 0–1 MEB · MEB 0–0 ADA · MEB 0–2 ADA · ADA 0–3 MEB

Form · last six in Premier League

MEBRAT HAYL

DLDWDW1–1 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–0

ADAMA KENEMA

DLWDLW0–0 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 3–2

The table

No league table for this competition.