Ethiopia Bunna v Negelle Arsi

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said a draw at 35%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: the draw was 35% before kick-off and our model makes it 35% now. 0–0 · 34–35–31
3. 1′KICK-OFF Ethiopia Bunna v Negelle Arsi
4. 21′Negelle Arsi find the net on 20′. 0–1. 0–1 · 10–21–68
5. 21′We said the draw at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 0–1 · 10–21–68
6. 21′⚽ GOAL · 20' Ethiopia Bunna 0–1 Negelle Arsi
7. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Draw: 35% at kick-off, 21% now
8. 21′THE CALL SWINGS · 21' Negelle Arsi win is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Draw 39%)
9. 28′A goal for Negelle Arsi on 28′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 2–7–91
10. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Ethiopia Bunna 0–2 Negelle Arsi
11. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Draw: 35% at kick-off, 7% now
12. 29′We said the draw at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 0–2 · 2–7–91
13. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Draw: 35% at kick-off, 5% now
14. 45′HALF-TIME Ethiopia Bunna 0–2 Negelle Arsi
15. 46′SECOND HALF Ethiopia Bunna 0–2 Negelle Arsi
16. 50′We said the draw at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 1–4–95
17. 75′Goals are coming at about the 1.9 we expected. 0–2 · 0–1–99
18. 96′A red card for Ethiopia Bunna on 90′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–2 · 0–0–100
19. 96′🟥 RED CARD · 90+6' Ethiopia Bunna
20. 97′Negelle Arsi score on 90′ to make it 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
21. 97′⚽ GOAL · 90+6' Ethiopia Bunna 0–3 Negelle Arsi
22. FTFULL TIME Ethiopia Bunna 0–3 Negelle Arsi
23. FTEthiopia Bunna 0–3 Negelle Arsi · Draw: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.