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Awassa Kenema v Mekelakeya
Awassa KenemaMekelakeyaPremier League · SUN 11 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Mekelakeya win at 38%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Mekelakeya was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 31–30–40
- 1′KICK-OFF Awassa Kenema v Mekelakeya
- 2′Much as we predicted: Mekelakeya was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 31–30–40
- 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Mekelakeya win 31%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Awassa Kenema 0–0 Mekelakeya
- 46′SECOND HALF Awassa Kenema 0–0 Mekelakeya
- 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Awassa Kenema 0–1 Mekelakeya
- FTFULL TIME Awassa Kenema 0–1 Mekelakeya
- FTAwassa Kenema 0–1 Mekelakeya · Mekelakeya win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.
The model’s prediction on this page stays free.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Awassa Kenema win29%Mekelakeya win38%Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:00
Match timeline
All events
Awassa KenemaMINMekelakeyaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Awassa Kenema
Mekelakeya
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Mekelakeya a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.0–1.2.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awassa Kenema win | 29% | 28% | 0 |
| Draw | 33% | 33% | 0 |
| Mekelakeya win | 38% | 39% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 33% | +3 |
| Both teams to score | 44% | 41% | +4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% | 58% | +7 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 15% | +2 |
| Awassa Kenema or draw | 62% | 61% | +1 |
| Awassa Kenema clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
| Mekelakeya clean sheet | 38% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
10 meetings since 2022Form · last six in Premier League
AWASSA KENEMA
MEKELAKEYA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Adama Kenema | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Halaba Ketema | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 |  Kedus Giorgis | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 |  Negelle Arsi | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 |  Welwalo Adigrat Uni | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 |  Fasil Ketema | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 |  Welayta Dicha | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 |  Mebrat Hayl | 1 | −1 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.