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Adama Kenema v Sheger Ketema
Adama KenemaSheger KetemaPremier League · FRI 16 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Sheger Ketema win at 38%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Sheger Ketema was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 30–31–39
- 1′KICK-OFF Adama Kenema v Sheger Ketema
- 29′THE CALL SWINGS · 29' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Sheger Ketema win 34%)
- 45′SECOND HALF Adama Kenema 0–0 Sheger Ketema
- 49′HALF-TIME Adama Kenema 0–0 Sheger Ketema
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Sheger Ketema win: 38% at kick-off, 28% now
- 54′We said Sheger Ketema at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 0–0 · 21–52–26
- 59′We said Sheger Ketema at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 20–56–24
- 68′We said Sheger Ketema at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 16–65–19
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Sheger Ketema win: 38% at kick-off, 18% now
- 75′We said Sheger Ketema at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 12–74–14
- 81′We said Sheger Ketema at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 8–83–9
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Sheger Ketema win: 38% at kick-off, 8% now
- 90′We said Sheger Ketema at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 0–0 · 3–94–3
- 95′Full time, 0–0. We called Sheger Ketema at 38% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–0 · 0–100–0
- FTFULL TIME Adama Kenema 0–0 Sheger Ketema
- FTAdama Kenema 0–0 Sheger Ketema · Sheger Ketema win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassClose to call, with Sheger Ketema just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Adama Kenema 28%, draw 34%, Sheger Ketema 38%. Over 2.5 goals 33%, both teams to score 41%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
Adama Kenema win28%Sheger Ketema win38%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 16:00
RoundMatchday 2
Match timeline
All events
Adama KenemaMINSheger KetemaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Adama Kenema
Sheger Ketema
Last match: 9 Oct · Premier League (Ethiopia)
Last match: 11 Oct · Premier League (Ethiopia)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Adama Kenema | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Sheger Ketema | 1 | +1 | 3 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Sheger Ketema a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 35%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 37%, 38% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 35% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adama Kenema win | 28% | 31% | −3 |
| Draw | 34% | 34% | 0 |
| Sheger Ketema win | 38% | 35% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 30% | +3 |
| Both teams to score | 41% | 40% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61% | 56% | +5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% | 16% | −1 |
| Adama Kenema or draw | 62% | 65% | −3 |
| Adama Kenema clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
| Sheger Ketema clean sheet | 40% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2025/26Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Premier League this season · since 9 Oct
ADAMA KENEMA
SHEGER KETEMA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ethiopian Medhin | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 |  Mekelakeya | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 4 | Adama Kenema | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Bahardar | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Sheger Ketema | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Kedus Giorgis | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 |  Welwalo Adigrat Uni | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 |  Halaba Ketema | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 |  Negelle Arsi | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 |  Welayta Dicha | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 |  Fasil Ketema | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 |  Awassa Kenema | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 14 |  Mebrat Hayl | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 15 |  Sidama Bunna | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 16 |  Ethiopia Bunna | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 17 |  Hadiya Hosaena | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 18 |  Gamo Chencha | 1 | −2 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.