Young Buffaloes v Ezulwini United prediction · Premier League

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 01:30

Young Buffaloes 0–0 Ezulwini United YOUNG BUFFALOES WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Young Buffaloes win~~53%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.877

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Young Buffaloes are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Young Buffaloes 53%, draw 26%, Ezulwini United 21%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on Young Buffaloes v Ezulwini UnitedBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off

Young Buffaloes win53%

Draw26%

Ezulwini United win21%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:30

RoundMatchday 4

VenueTrade Fair Ground

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Young Buffaloes

Ezulwini United

8Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · Premier League (Eswatini)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Young Buffaloes	3	+1	6
9	Ezulwini United	3	+1	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · young buffaloes winFirst published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Young Buffaloes a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Young Buffaloes v Ezulwini United~~1.52 – 0.84

~~Form · Premier League this season · since 20 Sept~~W2 D0 L1 · W1 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 6 v 4~~6 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Young Buffaloes win	53%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Ezulwini United win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	42%	–	–
Both teams to score	43%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	68%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
Young Buffaloes or draw	79%	–	–
Young Buffaloes clean sheet	44%	–	–
Ezulwini United clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.4%

0123450 9.9 8.1 3.4 1 14.4 11.7 4.9 2 10.8 8.8 3.7 3 5.5 4.5 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Young Buffaloes down, Ezulwini United across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,298 Premier League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 33.3% of games this season, across 30 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 1.83 goals a meeting; 2 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Young Buffaloes at home: 1.50 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Ezulwini United away: 0.83 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.52 goals for Young Buffaloes, 0.84 for Ezulwini United. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~1.83

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 6

~~Both scored~~1 of 6

~~Last meetings~~YOU 1–0 EZU · EZU 1–0 YOU · EZU 0–1 YOU · YOU 2–1 EZU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 20 Sept

YOUNG BUFFALOES

LWW0–1 · 2–1 · 3–2

EZULWINI UNITED

WLD3–0 · 1–3 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Royal Leopards	4	+7	10
2	Moneni Pirates	4	+3	9
3	Ubombo Sugar	4	+2	9
4	Green Mamba	4	+3	7
5	Nsingizini Hotspurs	4	+1	7
6	Young Buffaloes	3	+1	6
7	PPK Professionals	4	0	5
8	Mbabane Swallows	4	0	5
9	Ezulwini United	3	+1	4
10	Highlanders	4	0	4
11	Red Rhinos	4	−3	4
12	Amawele	4	−5	4
13	Madlenya	3	0	3
14	Rangers FC	3	−1	3
15	Manzini Sea Birds	4	−3	1
16	Tabankulu	4	−6	1