Tabankulu v Ezulwini United prediction · Premier League

Full timeGraded 25 Oct 01:42

Tabankulu 1–0 Ezulwini United EZULWINI UNITED WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Ezulwini United win~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.687

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ezulwini United are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tabankulu 33%, draw 29%, Ezulwini United 38%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on Tabankulu v Ezulwini UnitedBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 15:31 · locked at kick-off

Tabankulu win33%

Draw29%

Ezulwini United win38%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tabankulu

Ezulwini United

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · Premier League (Eswatini)

Last match: 18 Oct · Premier League (Eswatini)

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Ezulwini United	4	+1	5
16	Tabankulu	4	−6	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ezulwini united winFirst published 21 Oct 15:31 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Ezulwini United a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.1, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Tabankulu v Ezulwini United~~1.01 – 1.13

~~Form · Premier League this season · since 19 Sept~~W0 D1 L3 · W1 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 1 v 5~~16 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tabankulu win	33%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Ezulwini United win	38%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	36%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	63%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	17%	–	–
Tabankulu or draw	62%	–	–
Tabankulu clean sheet	33%	–	–
Ezulwini United clean sheet	37%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 13.2%

0123450 12.2 13.2 7.4 2.9 1 12.0 13.0 7.3 2.8 2 6.1 6.6 3.7 3 2.1 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tabankulu down, Ezulwini United across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,303 Premier League matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 31.4% of games this season, across 35 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 1.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Tabankulu at home: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Ezulwini United away: 0.83 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.01 goals for Tabankulu, 1.13 for Ezulwini United. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~1.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~EZU 0–0 TAB · TAB 0–2 EZU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 19 Sept

TABANKULU

DLLL1–1 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 1–4

EZULWINI UNITED

WLDD3–0 · 1–3 · 0–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Royal Leopards	4	+7	10
2	Green Mamba	5	+6	10
3	Moneni Pirates	4	+3	9
4	Ubombo Sugar	4	+2	9
5	Amawele	5	−3	9
6	Young Buffaloes	4	+1	7
7	Nsingizini Hotspurs	4	+1	7
8	Ezulwini United	4	+1	5
9	Mbabane Swallows	4	0	5
10	Rangers FC	5	−1	5
11	Highlanders	4	0	4
12	PPK Professionals	4	−1	4
13	Madlenya	5	−1	4
14	Red Rhinos	5	−6	4
15	Manzini Sea Birds	5	−3	2
16	Tabankulu	4	−6	1