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Tabankulu v Amawele

Tabankulu

0–1Full time

Amawele

Premier League · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 01:30

Tabankulu 0–1 Amawele TABANKULU WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Tabankulu win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.830

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Tabankulu win45%

Draw29%

Amawele win26%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 14:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tabankulu winPublished 9 Oct 23:31

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Tabankulu a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tabankulu win	45%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Amawele win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	37%	–	–
Both teams to score	41%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	63%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	18%	–	–
Tabankulu or draw	74%	–	–
Tabankulu clean sheet	42%	–	–
Amawele clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.7%

0123450 12.0 10.4 4.6 1 14.7 12.6 5.6 2 9.2 7.9 3.5 3 4.0 3.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tabankulu down, Amawele across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,283 Premier League matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 1.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Tabankulu at home: 1.00 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Amawele away: 1.50 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.27 goals for Tabankulu, 0.89 for Amawele. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~AMA 0–0 TAB · TAB 2–1 AMA

Form · last six in Premier League

TABANKULU

WDDLDL1–0 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 0–2

AMAWELE

WWLWLL2–0 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 1–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ubombo Sugar	2	+2	6
2	Highlanders	2	+3	4
3	Royal Leopards	2	+2	4
4	PPK Professionals	2	+2	4
5	Green Mamba	2	+2	4
6	Ezulwini United	2	+1	3
7	Moneni Pirates	2	0	3
8	Young Buffaloes	2	0	3
9	Nsingizini Hotspurs	2	0	3
10	Rangers FC	2	0	3
11	Madlenya	2	0	2
12	Manzini Sea Birds	2	−1	1
13	Tabankulu	2	−2	1
14	Mbabane Swallows	1	−1	0
15	Red Rhinos	1	−2	0
16	Amawele	2	−6	0