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Manzini Sea Birds v Young Buffaloes

Manzini Sea Birds

2–3Full time

Young Buffaloes

Premier League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Manzini Sea Birds 2–3 Young Buffaloes YOUNG BUFFALOES WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Young Buffaloes win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.488

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Manzini Sea Birds win30%

Draw27%

Young Buffaloes win43%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · young buffaloes winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Young Buffaloes a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Manzini Sea Birds win	30%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Young Buffaloes win	43%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	45%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	24%	–	–
Manzini Sea Birds or draw	57%	–	–
Manzini Sea Birds clean sheet	26%	–	–
Young Buffaloes clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.3%

0123450 8.8 11.8 7.9 3.7 1 9.5 12.3 8.4 3.9 2 5.2 6.8 4.6 2.1 3 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Manzini Sea Birds down, Young Buffaloes across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,284 Premier League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

12 previous meetings, 3.83 goals a meeting; 9 of 12 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Manzini Sea Birds at home: 1.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Young Buffaloes away: 0.50 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.10 goals for Manzini Sea Birds, 1.37 for Young Buffaloes. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

12 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.83

~~Over 2.5~~9 of 12

~~Both scored~~6 of 12

~~Last meetings~~MAN 3–0 YOU · YOU 2–1 MAN · MAN 3–0 YOU · YOU 1–0 MAN

Form · last six in Premier League

MANZINI SEA BIRDS

DDWDDL0–0 · 0–0 · 4–1 · 1–1 · 3–3 · 0–1

YOUNG BUFFALOES

LDWWLW0–1 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ubombo Sugar	2	+2	6
2	Highlanders	2	+3	4
3	Royal Leopards	2	+2	4
4	PPK Professionals	2	+2	4
5	Green Mamba	2	+2	4
6	Ezulwini United	2	+1	3
7	Moneni Pirates	2	0	3
8	Young Buffaloes	2	0	3
9	Nsingizini Hotspurs	2	0	3
10	Rangers FC	2	0	3
11	Amawele	3	−5	3
12	Madlenya	2	0	2
13	Manzini Sea Birds	2	−1	1
14	Tabankulu	3	−3	1
15	Mbabane Swallows	1	−1	0
16	Red Rhinos	1	−2	0