Madlenya v Rangers FC prediction · Premier League

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 01:30

Madlenya 1–1 Rangers FC RANGERS FC WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Rangers FC win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.757

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Rangers FC are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Madlenya 28%, draw 29%, Rangers FC 42%. Over 2.5 goals 35%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Madlenya v Rangers FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off

Madlenya win28%

Draw29%

Rangers FC win42%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Madlenya

Rangers FC

8Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · Premier League (Eswatini)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Madlenya	3	0	3
14	Rangers FC	3	−1	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rangers fc winFirst published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Rangers FC a 42% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.2, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Madlenya v Rangers FC~~0.91 – 1.19

~~Form · Premier League this season · since 19 Sept~~W0 D3 L0 · W1 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 3 v 3~~13 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Madlenya win	28%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Rangers FC win	42%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	35%	–	–
Both teams to score	41%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	61%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	17%	–	–
Madlenya or draw	58%	–	–
Madlenya clean sheet	31%	–	–
Rangers FC clean sheet	41%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 14.5%

0123450 12.8 14.5 8.5 3.5 1 11.2 12.7 7.5 3.0 2 5.2 5.9 3.5 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Madlenya down, Rangers FC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,298 Premier League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 33.3% of games this season, across 30 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.25 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Madlenya at home: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Rangers FC away: 0.17 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.91 goals for Madlenya, 1.19 for Rangers FC. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.25

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~RAN 0–3 MAD · MAD 0–3 RAN · MAD 1–2 RAN · RAN 0–0 MAD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 19 Sept

MADLENYA

DDD1–1 · 1–1 · 0–0

RANGERS FC

WLL1–0 · 0–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Royal Leopards	4	+7	10
2	Moneni Pirates	4	+3	9
3	Ubombo Sugar	4	+2	9
4	Green Mamba	4	+3	7
5	Nsingizini Hotspurs	4	+1	7
6	Young Buffaloes	3	+1	6
7	PPK Professionals	4	0	5
8	Mbabane Swallows	4	0	5
9	Ezulwini United	3	+1	4
10	Highlanders	4	0	4
11	Red Rhinos	4	−3	4
12	Amawele	4	−5	4
13	Madlenya	3	0	3
14	Rangers FC	3	−1	3
15	Manzini Sea Birds	4	−3	1
16	Tabankulu	4	−6	1