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Highlanders v Royal Leopards

Highlanders

0–2Full time

Royal Leopards

Premier League · SAT 10 OCT · Prince of Wales Stadium

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Highlanders 0–2 Royal Leopards ROYAL LEOPARDS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Royal Leopards win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.521

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Highlanders win35%

Draw24%

Royal Leopards win41%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:30

Venue · Prince of Wales Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · royal leopards winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Royal Leopards a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Highlanders win	35%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Royal Leopards win	41%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	56%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
Highlanders or draw	59%	–	–
Highlanders clean sheet	22%	–	–
Royal Leopards clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.9%

0123450 5.5 8.4 6.3 3.3 1 7.5 10.9 8.4 4.4 2 5.1 7.6 5.8 3.1 3 2.4 3.6 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Highlanders down, Royal Leopards across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,284 Premier League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

12 previous meetings, 3.50 goals a meeting; 8 of 12 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Highlanders at home: 1.67 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Royal Leopards away: 2.67 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.41 goals for Highlanders, 1.56 for Royal Leopards. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

12 meetings since 2020

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 12

~~Both scored~~10 of 12

~~Last meetings~~HIG 5–2 ROY · ROY 3–1 HIG · ROY 2–1 HIG · HIG 0–2 ROY

Form · last six in Premier League

HIGHLANDERS

LWLWDW0–1 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 4–1

ROYAL LEOPARDS

WWLDDW4–1 · 3–0 · 2–3 · 2–2 · 3–3 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ubombo Sugar	2	+2	6
2	Highlanders	2	+3	4
3	Royal Leopards	2	+2	4
4	PPK Professionals	2	+2	4
5	Green Mamba	2	+2	4
6	Ezulwini United	2	+1	3
7	Moneni Pirates	2	0	3
8	Young Buffaloes	2	0	3
9	Nsingizini Hotspurs	2	0	3
10	Rangers FC	2	0	3
11	Amawele	3	−5	3
12	Madlenya	2	0	2
13	Manzini Sea Birds	2	−1	1
14	Tabankulu	3	−3	1
15	Mbabane Swallows	1	−1	0
16	Red Rhinos	1	−2	0