Amawele v PPK Professionals prediction · Premier League

Full timeGraded 20 Oct 03:22

Amawele 1–0 PPK Professionals PPK PROFESSIONALS WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said PPK Professionals win~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.658

Corrected on 20 Oct: this match was first graded on a score of 0–0; the score is now 1–0 and the grades above follow it.

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with PPK Professionals just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Amawele 34%, draw 28%, PPK Professionals 38%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Amawele v PPK ProfessionalsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off

Amawele win34%

Draw28%

PPK Professionals win38%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Amawele

PPK Professionals

8Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · Premier League (Eswatini)

Last match: 10 Oct · Premier League (Eswatini)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	PPK Professionals	3	0	4
13	Amawele	3	−5	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ppk professionals winFirst published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make PPK Professionals a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Amawele v PPK Professionals~~1.10 – 1.17

~~Form · Premier League this season · since 19 Sept~~W1 D0 L2 · W1 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 3 v 4~~13 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Amawele win	34%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
PPK Professionals win	38%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	40%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	66%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	20%	–	–
Amawele or draw	62%	–	–
Amawele clean sheet	32%	–	–
PPK Professionals clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.8%

0123450 10.8 12.2 7.1 2.9 1 11.4 12.8 7.5 3.0 2 6.2 7.0 4.1 3 2.4 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Amawele down, PPK Professionals across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,292 Premier League matches up to 14 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Amawele at home: 0.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). PPK Professionals away: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 1).

What the model expects

1.10 goals for Amawele, 1.17 for PPK Professionals. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 19 Sept

AMAWELE

LLW0–3 · 1–4 · 1–0

PPK PROFESSIONALS

WDL3–1 · 1–1 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Royal Leopards	3	+4	7
2	Green Mamba	3	+4	7
3	Young Buffaloes	3	+1	6
4	Moneni Pirates	3	+1	6
5	Ubombo Sugar	3	+1	6
6	Ezulwini United	3	+1	4
7	Highlanders	3	+1	4
8	PPK Professionals	3	0	4
9	Nsingizini Hotspurs	3	0	4
10	Red Rhinos	3	−1	4
11	Madlenya	3	0	3
12	Rangers FC	3	−1	3
13	Amawele	3	−5	3
14	Mbabane Swallows	3	−1	2
15	Manzini Sea Birds	3	−2	1
16	Tabankulu	3	−3	1