JK Tabasalu v Levadia U19 prediction · Esiliiga B

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

JK TabasaluDrawLevadia U19

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Levadia U19 58%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Levadia U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: JK Tabasalu 24%, draw 19%, Levadia U19 58%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on JK Tabasalu v Levadia U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

JK Tabasalu win24%

Draw19%

Levadia U19 win58%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 35

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

JK Tabasalu

Levadia U19

7Days since last match13

Last match: 24 Oct · Esiliiga B

Last match: 18 Oct · Esiliiga B

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Levadia U19	33	+30	65
8	JK Tabasalu	34	−38	37

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · levadia u19 winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

58% The market–

Us58%

We make Levadia U19 a 58% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–2.2, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · JK Tabasalu v Levadia U19~~1.36 – 2.25

~~Form · last six in Esiliiga B this season · since 11 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 37 v 65~~8 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
JK Tabasalu win	24%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Levadia U19 win	58%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	48%	–	–
JK Tabasalu or draw	42%	–	–
JK Tabasalu clean sheet	11%	–	–
Levadia U19 clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.9%

0123450 2.4 6.9 6.9 5.1 3.0 1 4.4 7.7 8.9 6.7 3.8 2 2.6 5.5 6.0 4.5 2.6 3 2.6 2.8 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+JK Tabasalu down, Levadia U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (96.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 530 Esiliiga B matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Esiliiga B matches have gone over 2.5 in 79.5% of games this season, across 166 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2026 in every competition we cover, 3.33 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

JK Tabasalu at home: 1.50 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Levadia U19 away: 2.83 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.36 goals for JK Tabasalu, 2.25 for Levadia U19. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~3.33

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~0 of 3

~~Last meetings~~LEV 3–0 JKT · JKT 0–5 LEV · LEV 0–2 JKT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Esiliiga B this season · since 11 Sept

JK TABASALU

DLLLDW1–1 · 2–3 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 2–1

LEVADIA U19

LLWWWW0–1 · 3–5 · 1–0 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 3–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Narva U21	33	+38	70
2	Levadia U19	33	+30	65
3	Phoenix	34	0	57
4	Luunja	33	+25	56
5	Tulevik	33	+19	53
6	Parnu JK Vaprus U21	33	+33	50
7	Tartu Kalev	34	+13	50
8	JK Tabasalu	34	−38	37
9	Tallinna Kalev II	33	−17	30
10	Legion	34	−103	13