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Nõmme United II v FCI Levadia II

Nõmme United II
0–1Full time
FCI Levadia II

Esiliiga A · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 18:32
Nõmme United II 0–1 FCI Levadia II FCI LEVADIA II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said FCI Levadia II win46%
The market said43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.448
The market’s Brier score0.496

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Nõmme United II win34%
Draw20%
FCI Levadia II win46%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 16:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fci levadia ii winPublished 9 Oct 16:01
46% The market43%
Us46%
Market43%

We make FCI Levadia II a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–2.1.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40%45%50% 9 OCT 06:189 OCT 13:07
Our probability · fci levadia ii win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 36% to 43% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Nõmme United II win34%35%−1
Draw20%22%−2
FCI Levadia II win46%43%+3
Over 2.5 goals75%77%−2
Both teams to score72%76%−4
Over 1.5 goals90%90%0
Over 3.5 goals55%60%−5
Nõmme United II or draw54%57%−3
Nõmme United II clean sheet13%––
FCI Levadia II clean sheet17%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.7%
0123450 4.5 4.4 3.1 1 3.9 7.3 7.7 5.4 3.0 2 3.3 6.7 6.9 4.8 2.6 3 2.0 4.1 4.2 2.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Nõmme United II down, FCI Levadia II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2026
Goals a meeting3.33
Over 2.52 of 3
Both scored2 of 3
Last meetingsNOM 1–2 FCI · FCI 4–2 NOM · FCI 0–1 NOM

Form · last six in Esiliiga A

NÕMME UNITED II

LLLWWW1–4 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 3–2

FCI LEVADIA II

LWLWDW2–4 · 2–1 · 2–4 · 6–2 · 0–0 · 5–1

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Tartu Welco30+4262
2Viimsi30+2550
3Flora II30+1948
4Elva30+348
5FCI Levadia II29+541
6Maardu27−1041
7Tallinna Kalev29−337
8Nõmme United II30−1236
9FC Tallinn29−2829
10Nõmme Kalju II30−4122

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.