Sheffield United W v Nottingham Forest W prediction · WSL Cup

After 90 minutesGraded 19 Oct 01:30

Sheffield United W 0–0 Nottingham Forest W NOTTINGHAM FOREST W WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Nottingham Forest W win~~44%

~~The market said~~58%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.881

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.951

Every number we publish is for the 90 minutes, so this match is graded on 0–0, the score after 90 minutes. Sheffield United W won 4–2 on penalties.

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Nottingham Forest W are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sheffield United W 32%, draw 24%, Nottingham Forest W 44%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Sheffield United W v Nottingham Forest WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Sheffield United W win32%

Draw24%

Nottingham Forest W win44%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup stage

VenueBramall Lane

Line-ups

Sheffield United W

Nottingham Forest W

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sheffield United W

Nottingham Forest W

14Days since last match14

Last match: 4 Oct · Women's Championship

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Sheffield United W

Formation not confirmed

27 S. Hillyerd

2 L. Cowan

41 J. Reavill

6 G. Pearse

22 S. Harwood

4 E. Kinzett

25 M. Rouse

11 A. Baker

10 C. Devlin

7 A. Andrews

23 C. Scofield

Coach · Stephen Healy

Substitutes

1 · S. Rogers

14 · H. Houssein

15 · L. Quinn

29 · A. Jones

53 · N. Fisher

42 · M. Austin

30 · I. Pendlebury

13 · P. Soper

20 · S. O'Rourke

Nottingham Forest W

Formation not confirmed

1 E. Batty

16 C. Thomas

22 G. L. McEwan

15 H. Coan

12 E. Hed

11 T. Almqvist

17 F. Thomas

6 D. Rose

3 A. Lafayette

18 I. Walta

20 T. Espas

Coach · Tom Mallinson

Substitutes

24 · K. Cox

4 · G. Brougham

8 · C. Boye-Hlorkah

9 · M. Johnson

13 · R. Rowe

14 · L. McKenna

21 · L. Shooter

31 · A. Murphy

50 · T. Koroma

Our number · nottingham forest w winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

44% The market58%

Us44%

~~Market~~58%

We make Nottingham Forest W a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are 14 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.5.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sheffield United W v Nottingham Forest W~~1.26 – 1.54

~~Form · WSL Cup this season · since 23 Sept~~W0 D0 L1 · W0 D0 L1

~~The market · Nottingham Forest W win~~58% · ours 44%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Nottingham Forest W win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 58% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sheffield United W win	32%	18%	+14
Draw	24%	24%	0
Nottingham Forest W win	44%	58%	−14
Over 2.5 goals	53%	53%	0
Both teams to score	55%	52%	+3
Over 1.5 goals	76%	76%	0
Over 3.5 goals	31%	32%	−1
Sheffield United W or draw	56%	42%	+14
Sheffield United W clean sheet	22%	–	–
Nottingham Forest W clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.1%

0123450 5.8 10.1 7.2 3.7 1 8.4 11.1 8.8 4.5 2 4.9 7.3 5.5 2.8 3 2.1 3.1 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sheffield United W down, Nottingham Forest W across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 668 Women's Championship matches up to 4 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Women's Championship matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.3% of games this season, across 30 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 0.50 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sheffield United W at home: 1.33 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Nottingham Forest W away: 1.00 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.26 goals for Sheffield United W, 1.54 for Nottingham Forest W. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~0.50

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~NOT 1–0 SHE · SHE 0–0 NOT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · WSL Cup this season · since 23 Sept

SHEFFIELD UNITED W

L1–10

NOTTINGHAM FOREST W

L0–2

Sheffield United W v Nottingham Forest W

The match pulse

AI match analysis

Pre-match prediction

Match timeline

Line-ups

Sheffield United W

Nottingham Forest W

Rest & schedule

Sheffield United W

Nottingham Forest W

The game in numbers

Line-ups

Sheffield United W

Nottingham Forest W

Match statistics

Line-ups

Sheffield United W

Nottingham Forest W

What the number rests on

Head to head

Form · WSL Cup this season · since 23 Sept