Burnley W v Durham W
Burnley WDurham WWSL Cup · SUN 18 OCT · Turf Moor
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Burnley W are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Burnley W 41%, draw 24%, Durham W 35%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 53%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Burnley W win41%Durham W win35%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00
RoundGroup stage
VenueTurf Moor
Match timeline
All events
Burnley WMINDurham WEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Burnley W
Durham W
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Burnley W
Durham W
Last match: 4 Oct · Women's Championship
Last match: 4 Oct · Women's Championship
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Burnley W
Formation not confirmed
28 K. Levell
2 C. Docherty
5 D. Cooper
3 E. Siddall
22 A. Paul
6 T. Toland
4 B. McPartlan
8 J. Finn
23 N. Hartley
44 L. Galton
10 C. Harrison-Murray
Coach · Jackie Bachteler
Substitutes
25 · J. Burns
11 · K. Sena
14 · J. Hennessy
20 · M. Wilde
24 · B. Cairns
Durham W
Formation not confirmed
13 A. King
2 G. Ayre
5 S. Wilson
4 M. McComasky
3 L. Briggs
25 E. Brown
21 A. Stobbs
11 J. Pennock
7 B. Hepple
10 G. Ede
19 B. Hutchison
Coach · Willie Kirk
Substitutes
35 · C. Sheppard
6 · E. Wilson
9 · L. Watson
12 · L. Noble
15 · D. Bradley
18 · A. Addison
22 · G. Collinson
23 · R. Lowe
24 · E. Morran
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Burnley W
Formation not confirmed
28 K. Levell
2 C. Docherty
5 D. Cooper
3 E. Siddall
22 A. Paul
6 T. Toland
4 B. McPartlan
8 J. Finn
23 N. Hartley
44 L. Galton
10 C. Harrison-Murray
Coach · Jackie Bachteler
Substitutes
25 · J. Burns
11 · K. Sena
14 · J. Hennessy
20 · M. Wilde
24 · B. Cairns
Durham W
Formation not confirmed
13 A. King
2 G. Ayre
5 S. Wilson
4 M. McComasky
3 L. Briggs
25 E. Brown
21 A. Stobbs
11 J. Pennock
7 B. Hepple
10 G. Ede
19 B. Hutchison
Coach · Willie Kirk
Substitutes
35 · C. Sheppard
6 · E. Wilson
9 · L. Watson
12 · L. Noble
15 · D. Bradley
18 · A. Addison
22 · G. Collinson
23 · R. Lowe
24 · E. Morran
We make Burnley W a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are 10 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley W win | 41% | 51% | −10 |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | −1 |
| Durham W win | 35% | 24% | +11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 55% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 57% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 77% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 35% | −6 |
| Burnley W or draw | 65% | 76% | −11 |
| Burnley W clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
| Durham W clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · WSL Cup this season · since 30 Sept
BURNLEY W
No matches in our record yet.
DURHAM W