Nottingham Forest W v Newcastle United W prediction · Women's Championship

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Nottingham Forest WDrawNewcastle United W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Newcastle United W 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Newcastle United W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Nottingham Forest W 28%, draw 24%, Newcastle United W 48%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Nottingham Forest W v Newcastle United WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Nottingham Forest W win28%

Draw24%

Newcastle United W win48%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 6

VenueCity Ground

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Nottingham Forest W

Newcastle United W

7Days since last match4

Last match: 18 Oct · WSL Cup

Last match: 21 Oct · WSL Cup

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · newcastle united w winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Newcastle United W a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.6, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Nottingham Forest W v Newcastle United W~~1.12 – 1.57

~~Form · Women's Championship this season · since 6 Sept~~W2 D3 L0 · W5 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 9 v 15~~4 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Nottingham Forest W win	28%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Newcastle United W win	48%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	50%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Nottingham Forest W or draw	52%	–	–
Nottingham Forest W clean sheet	21%	–	–
Newcastle United W clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 11.3%

0123450 6.4 11.3 8.3 4.4 1 8.3 11.1 9.0 4.8 2 4.3 6.6 5.1 2.7 3 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Nottingham Forest W down, Newcastle United W across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 668 Women's Championship matches up to 4 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Women's Championship matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.3% of games this season, across 30 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.67 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Nottingham Forest W at home: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Newcastle United W away: 1.50 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.12 goals for Nottingham Forest W, 1.57 for Newcastle United W. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.67

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~3 of 3

~~Last meetings~~NEW 1–1 NOT · NOT 2–1 NEW · NOT 1–2 NEW

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Women's Championship this season · since 6 Sept

NOTTINGHAM FOREST W

DDWDW1–1 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 2–0

NEWCASTLE UNITED W

WWWWW2–0 · 1–0 · 4–1 · 4–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Newcastle United W	5	+13	15
2	Sunderland W	5	+7	13
3	Ipswich Town W	5	+4	11
4	Nottingham Forest W	5	+3	9
5	Wolverhampton W	5	+1	7
6	Bristol City W	5	+1	7
7	Southampton W	5	+1	6
8	Leicester City FC W	5	−4	6
9	Sheffield United W	5	−4	3
10	Watford W	5	−5	3
11	Burnley W	5	−6	2
12	Durham W	5	−11	0