Ipswich Town W v Sunderland W prediction · Women's Championship

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Ipswich Town WDrawSunderland W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Ipswich Town W 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Ipswich Town W just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Ipswich Town W 39%, draw 24%, Sunderland W 38%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Ipswich Town W v Sunderland WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Ipswich Town W win39%

Draw24%

Sunderland W win38%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ipswich Town W

Sunderland W

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · WSL Cup

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Sunderland W	5	+7	13
3	Ipswich Town W	5	+4	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ipswich town w winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Ipswich Town W a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Ipswich Town W v Sunderland W~~1.41 – 1.39

~~Form · Women's Championship this season · since 6 Sept~~W3 D2 L0 · W4 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 11 v 13~~3 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ipswich Town W win	39%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Sunderland W win	38%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Ipswich Town W or draw	62%	–	–
Ipswich Town W clean sheet	25%	–	–
Sunderland W clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.1%

0123450 5.7 9.1 5.9 2.8 1 9.2 11.1 8.1 3.8 2 6.1 8.2 5.6 2.6 3 2.9 3.9 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Ipswich Town W down, Sunderland W across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 668 Women's Championship matches up to 4 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Women's Championship matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.3% of games this season, across 30 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Ipswich Town W at home: 2.17 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Sunderland W away: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.41 goals for Ipswich Town W, 1.39 for Sunderland W. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~IPS 2–1 SUN · SUN 2–1 IPS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Women's Championship this season · since 6 Sept

IPSWICH TOWN W

DDWWW1–1 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 2–1

SUNDERLAND W

WWDWW4–1 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Newcastle United W	5	+13	15
2	Sunderland W	5	+7	13
3	Ipswich Town W	5	+4	11
4	Nottingham Forest W	5	+3	9
5	Wolverhampton W	5	+1	7
6	Bristol City W	5	+1	7
7	Southampton W	5	+1	6
8	Leicester City FC W	5	−4	6
9	Sheffield United W	5	−4	3
10	Watford W	5	−5	3
11	Burnley W	5	−6	2
12	Durham W	5	−11	0