Burnley W v Sheffield United W prediction · Women's Championship

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Burnley WDrawSheffield United W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Burnley W 46%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Burnley W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Burnley W 46%, draw 25%, Sheffield United W 29%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Burnley W v Sheffield United WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Burnley W win46%

Draw25%

Sheffield United W win29%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 6

VenueTurf Moor

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Burnley W

Sheffield United W

4Days since last match7

Last match: 21 Oct · WSL Cup

Last match: 18 Oct · WSL Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Sheffield United W	5	−4	3
11	Burnley W	5	−6	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · burnley w winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Burnley W a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.1, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Burnley W v Sheffield United W~~1.45 – 1.10

~~Form · Women's Championship this season · since 4 Sept~~W0 D2 L3 · W1 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 2 v 3~~11 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Burnley W win	46%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Sheffield United W win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
Burnley W or draw	71%	–	–
Burnley W clean sheet	34%	–	–
Sheffield United W clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.1%

0123450 7.6 9.4 4.8 1 12.1 11.5 6.6 2.5 2 8.2 8.7 4.7 3 4.0 4.2 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Burnley W down, Sheffield United W across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 668 Women's Championship matches up to 4 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Women's Championship matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.3% of games this season, across 30 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Burnley W at home: 0.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 2). Sheffield United W away: 1.17 scored, 3.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.45 goals for Burnley W, 1.10 for Sheffield United W. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Women's Championship this season · since 4 Sept

BURNLEY W

DLLDL0–0 · 1–2 · 0–3 · 0–0 · 0–2

SHEFFIELD UNITED W

LLLWL0–1 · 1–3 · 1–4 · 4–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Newcastle United W	5	+13	15
2	Sunderland W	5	+7	13
3	Ipswich Town W	5	+4	11
4	Nottingham Forest W	5	+3	9
5	Wolverhampton W	5	+1	7
6	Bristol City W	5	+1	7
7	Southampton W	5	+1	6
8	Leicester City FC W	5	−4	6
9	Sheffield United W	5	−4	3
10	Watford W	5	−5	3
11	Burnley W	5	−6	2
12	Durham W	5	−11	0