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Ipswich Town U18 v Crystal Palace U18

Ipswich Town U18

2–6Full time

Crystal Palace U18

U18 Premier League - South · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 14:49

Ipswich Town U18 2–6 Crystal Palace U18 CRYSTAL PALACE U18 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–3 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Crystal Palace U18 win~~67%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.166

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay19 notes · 17 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Crystal Palace U18 win at 67%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Crystal Palace U18 67% before kick-off, 67% now. 0–0 · 18–15–67
1′KICK-OFF Ipswich Town U18 v Crystal Palace U18
12′Crystal Palace U18 score on 12′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 8–11–81
12′11′: D. Martin on the scoresheet for Crystal Palace U18, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 8–11–81
12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Ipswich Town U18 0–1 Crystal Palace U18
12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Crystal Palace U18 win: 67% at kick-off, 81% now
13′We said Crystal Palace U18 at 67% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 0–1 · 8–11–81
16′Crystal Palace U18 ahead on 14′ through R. Ahazie-Shittu. 0–2. 0–2 · 3–5–92
16′We said Crystal Palace U18 at 67% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 0–2 · 3–5–92
16′A goal for Crystal Palace U18 on 16′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 1–2–97
16′⚽ GOAL · 14' Ipswich Town U18 0–2 Crystal Palace U18 · R. Ahazie-Shittu (assist O. Sherif Lamidi)
16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Crystal Palace U18 win: 67% at kick-off, 92% now
16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Ipswich Town U18 0–3 Crystal Palace U18
16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Crystal Palace U18 win: 67% at kick-off, 97% now
17′We said Crystal Palace U18 at 67% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 0–3 · 1–2–97
31′Ipswich Town U18 score on 30′ to make it 1–3. 1–3 · 2–5–93
31′Crystal Palace U18 find the net on 31′. 1–4. 1–4 · 1–2–98
31′Crystal Palace U18 ahead on 30′ through D. Martin. 1–4. 1–4 · 1–2–98
31′5 goals already, more than the 4.8 we expected for the whole match. 1–4 · 1–2–98
31′⚽ GOAL · 30' Ipswich Town U18 1–3 Crystal Palace U18
31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Crystal Palace U18 win: 67% at kick-off, 93% now
31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Ipswich Town U18 1–4 Crystal Palace U18
31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Crystal Palace U18 win: 67% at kick-off, 98% now
40′H. Bull scores for Crystal Palace U18 on 39′ — 1–5. 1–5 · 0–0–100
40′We said Crystal Palace U18 at 67% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 1–5 · 0–0–100
40′That is 6, and we only asked for 4.8 across ninety minutes. 1–5 · 0–0–100
40′⚽ GOAL · 39' Ipswich Town U18 1–5 Crystal Palace U18 · H. Bull
45′HALF-TIME Ipswich Town U18 1–5 Crystal Palace U18
46′SECOND HALF Ipswich Town U18 1–5 Crystal Palace U18
58′Crystal Palace U18 score on 58′ to make it 1–6. 1–6 · 0–0–100
58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Ipswich Town U18 1–6 Crystal Palace U18
59′7 goals already, more than the 4.8 we expected for the whole match. 1–6 · 0–0–100
71′Ipswich Town U18 find the net on 71′. 2–6. 2–6 · 0–0–100
71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Ipswich Town U18 2–6 Crystal Palace U18
72′That is 8, and we only asked for 4.8 across ninety minutes. 2–6 · 0–0–100
FTFULL TIME Ipswich Town U18 2–6 Crystal Palace U18
FTIpswich Town U18 2–6 Crystal Palace U18 · Crystal Palace U18 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–3 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Crystal Palace U18 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ipswich Town U18 18%, draw 15%, Crystal Palace U18 67%. Over 2.5 goals 85%, both teams to score 76%.

The AI’s read on Ipswich Town U18 v Crystal Palace U18Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Ipswich Town U18 win18%

Draw15%

Crystal Palace U18 win67%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00

RoundSouth

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ipswich Town U18

Crystal Palace U18

28Days since last match28

Last match: 19 Sept · U18 Premier League - South

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Ipswich Town U18	6	0	9
14	Crystal Palace U18	6	−6	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · crystal palace u18 winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

67% The market–

Us67%

We make Crystal Palace U18 a 67% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–3.1, and 1–3 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Ipswich Town U18 v Crystal Palace U18~~1.64 – 3.13

~~Form · U18 Premier League - South this season · since 15 Aug~~W3 D0 L3 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 9 v 4~~9 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ipswich Town U18 win	18%	–	–
Draw	15%	–	–
Crystal Palace U18 win	67%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	85%	–	–
Both teams to score	76%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	95%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	69%	–	–
Ipswich Town U18 or draw	33%	–	–
Ipswich Town U18 clean sheet	5%	–	–
Crystal Palace U18 clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–3 at 6.9%

0123450 2.9 4.2 4.3 3.4 2.11 4.4 6.7 6.9 5.3 3.42 3.6 5.5 5.6 4.3 2.73 2.0 3.0 3.1 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Ipswich Town U18 down, Crystal Palace U18 across0–5 goals a side shown (88.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 886 U18 Premier League - South matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: U18 Premier League - South matches have gone over 2.5 in 85.7% of games this season, across 49 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 8.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Ipswich Town U18 at home: 2.67 scored, 4.67 conceded a game (last 6). Crystal Palace U18 away: 2.00 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.64 goals for Ipswich Town U18, 3.13 for Crystal Palace U18. Most likely score 1–3.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~8.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~IPS 3–6 CRY · CRY 8–0 IPS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · U18 Premier League - South this season · since 15 Aug

IPSWICH TOWN U18

LWWWLL2–5 · 3–1 · 6–2 · 3–0 · 1–4 · 0–3

CRYSTAL PALACE U18

WLLLLD3–1 · 1–4 · 0–1 · 2–4 · 0–2 · 3–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tottenham Hotspur U18	6	+24	16
2	Chelsea U18	7	+18	15
3	Southampton U18	6	+9	12
4	Fulham U18	6	+8	12
5	Arsenal U18	6	+4	10
6	West Ham United U18	6	+1	10
7	Brighton U18	6	−2	10
8	Brentford U18	6	0	9
9	Ipswich Town U18	6	0	9
10	Aston Villa U18	6	+2	8
11	West Bromwich Albion U18	6	−9	7
12	Norwich City U18	6	−9	6
13	AFC Bournemouth U18	6	−8	5
14	Crystal Palace U18	6	−6	4
15	Reading U18	7	−16	4
16	Birmingham City U18	6	−16	3