Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › U18 Premier League - South › Crystal Palace U18 v Reading U18

Back
England flag

Crystal Palace U18 v Reading U18

Crystal Palace U18
5–3Full time
Reading U18

U18 Premier League - South · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:04
Crystal Palace U18 5–3 Reading U18 CRYSTAL PALACE U18 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Crystal Palace U18 win67%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.164

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay24 notes · 18 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Crystal Palace U18 win at 67%.
  2. 7′Little has changed for our model: Crystal Palace U18 67% before kick-off, 65% now. 0–0 · 65–17–17
  3. 22′Crystal Palace U18 score on 22′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 82–12–6
  4. 22′We said Crystal Palace U18 at 67% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 1–0 · 82–12–6
  5. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Crystal Palace U18 1–0 Reading U18
  6. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Crystal Palace U18 win: 67% at kick-off, 82% now
  7. 23′20′: D. Martin on the scoresheet for Crystal Palace U18, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 82–12–6
  8. 28′Crystal Palace U18 find the net on 28′. 2–0. 2–0 · 94–4–2
  9. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Crystal Palace U18 2–0 Reading U18
  10. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Crystal Palace U18 win: 67% at kick-off, 94% now
  11. 29′We said Crystal Palace U18 at 67% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 2–0 · 94–4–2
  12. 30′Crystal Palace U18 ahead on 23′ through D. Martin. 2–0. 2–0 · 94–4–2
  13. 35′Crystal Palace U18 score on 35′ to make it 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  14. 35′⚽ GOAL · 34' Crystal Palace U18 4–0 Reading U18
  15. 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Crystal Palace U18 4–0 Reading U18
  16. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Crystal Palace U18 win: 67% at kick-off, over 99% now
  17. 35′GOAL DISALLOWED · 35' Crystal Palace U18
  18. 42′Crystal Palace U18 score on 42′ to make it 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  19. 42′We said Crystal Palace U18 at 67% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  20. 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Crystal Palace U18 4–0 Reading U18
  21. 43′34′: D. Martin on the scoresheet for Crystal Palace U18, making it 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  22. 44′33′: D. Martin on the scoresheet for Crystal Palace U18, making it 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  23. 45′5 goals already, more than the 4.1 we expected for the whole match. 5–0 · 100–0–0
  24. 45′Crystal Palace U18 ahead on 44′ through J. Fasida. 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
  25. 45′HALF-TIME Crystal Palace U18 5–0 Reading U18
  26. 46′SECOND HALF Crystal Palace U18 5–0 Reading U18
  27. 48′Crystal Palace U18 find the net on 45′. 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
  28. 48′⚽ GOAL · 45+3' Crystal Palace U18 5–0 Reading U18
  29. 50′A goal for Reading U18 on 50′ — 5–1. 5–1 · 100–0–0
  30. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Crystal Palace U18 5–1 Reading U18
  31. 51′That is 6, and we only asked for 4.1 across ninety minutes. 5–1 · 100–0–0
  32. 52′R. Fewings scores for Reading U18 on 49′ — 5–1. 5–1 · 100–0–0
  33. 71′Crystal Palace U18 are down to ten from 70′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 5–1 · 100–0–0
  34. 71′🟥 RED CARD · 70' Crystal Palace U18
  35. 80′Reading U18 score on 80′ to make it 5–2. 5–2 · 100–0–0
  36. 80′7 goals already, more than the 4.1 we expected for the whole match. 5–2 · 100–0–0
  37. 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Crystal Palace U18 5–2 Reading U18
  38. 85′Reading U18 find the net on 85′. 5–3. 5–3 · 100–0–0
  39. 85′That is 8, and we only asked for 4.1 across ninety minutes. 5–3 · 100–0–0
  40. 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Crystal Palace U18 5–3 Reading U18
  41. 88′A second red card for Crystal Palace U18 on 87′ — they are down to nine. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 5–3 · 100–0–0
  42. 88′🟥 RED CARD · 87' Crystal Palace U18
  43. FTFULL TIME Crystal Palace U18 5–3 Reading U18
  44. FTCrystal Palace U18 5–3 Reading U18 · Crystal Palace U18 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Crystal Palace U18 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Crystal Palace U18 67%, draw 16%, Reading U18 17%. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Crystal Palace U18 v Reading U18Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Crystal Palace U18 win67%
Draw16%
Reading U18 win17%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 11:30

RoundSouth

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Crystal Palace U18

Reading U18

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · U18 Premier League - South

Last match: 17 Oct · U18 Premier League - South

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
12Crystal Palace U187−27
15Reading U188−194

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · crystal palace u18 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
67% The market–
Us67%

We make Crystal Palace U18 a 67% chance to win. The model expects 2.8–1.3, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Crystal Palace U18 v Reading U182.76 – 1.34
Form · last six in U18 Premier League - South this season · since 22 AugW1 D1 L4 · W1 D1 L4
Table places · points 7 v 412 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Crystal Palace U18 win67%––
Draw16%––
Reading U18 win17%––
Over 2.5 goals77%––
Both teams to score68%––
Over 1.5 goals91%––
Over 3.5 goals58%––
Crystal Palace U18 or draw83%––
Crystal Palace U18 clean sheet27%––
Reading U18 clean sheet7%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.3%
0123450 2.6 1 4.9 6.0 4.1 2 6.3 8.3 5.5 2.5 3 5.8 7.5 5.0 2.3 4 4.0 5.2 3.4 5 2.3 2.9
under 2% 5% 12%+Crystal Palace U18 down, Reading U18 across0–5 goals a side shown (93.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.25
Over 2.56 of 8
Both scored3 of 8
Last meetingsREA 2–4 CRY · CRY 2–0 REA · CRY 0–0 REA · REA 0–3 CRY

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in U18 Premier League - South this season · since 22 Aug

CRYSTAL PALACE U18

LLLLDW1–4 · 0–1 · 2–4 · 0–2 · 3–3 · 6–2

READING U18

LDLWLL1–6 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 3–2 · 0–3 · 2–5

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Chelsea U188+2018
2Tottenham Hotspur U187+2316
3Fulham U187+1015
4Arsenal U187+513
5West Ham United U187+213
6Brighton U187−113
7Southampton U187+812
8Brentford U187+312
9Ipswich Town U187−49
10Aston Villa U187+18
11AFC Bournemouth U187−78
12Crystal Palace U187−27
13West Bromwich Albion U187−117
14Norwich City U187−106
15Reading U188−194
16Birmingham City U187−183

The competition's standings before kick-off.