Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › U18 Premier League - South › Chelsea U18 v Ipswich Town U18

Back
England flag

Chelsea U18 v Ipswich Town U18

Chelsea U18
4–1Full time
Ipswich Town U18

U18 Premier League - South · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:04
Chelsea U18 4–1 Ipswich Town U18 CHELSEA U18 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT4–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Chelsea U18 win87%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.027

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 18 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Chelsea U18 win at 87%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Chelsea U18 was 87% before kick-off and our model makes it 86% now. 0–0 · 86–8–6
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Chelsea U18 v Ipswich Town U18
  4. 18′J. Ladegbaye scores for Ipswich Town U18 on 17′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 67–16–17
  5. 18′⚽ GOAL · 17' Chelsea U18 0–1 Ipswich Town U18 · J. Ladegbaye (assist C. Stewart)
  6. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Chelsea U18 win: 87% at kick-off, 67% now
  7. 19′We said Chelsea U18 at 87%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 67%. 0–1 · 67–16–17
  8. 24′We said Chelsea U18 at 87%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 64%. 0–1 · 64–17–19
  9. 32′We said Chelsea U18 at 87%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 59%. 0–1 · 59–19–21
  10. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Chelsea U18 win: 87% at kick-off, 57% now
  11. 39′We said Chelsea U18 at 87%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 54%. 0–1 · 54–22–24
  12. 45′HALF-TIME Chelsea U18 0–1 Ipswich Town U18
  13. 46′We said Chelsea U18 at 87%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–1 · 49–24–27
  14. 46′SECOND HALF Chelsea U18 0–1 Ipswich Town U18
  15. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Chelsea U18 win: 87% at kick-off, 47% now
  16. 51′We said Chelsea U18 at 87%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–1 · 44–26–30
  17. 56′We said Chelsea U18 at 87%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–1 · 39–28–33
  18. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Chelsea U18 win: 87% at kick-off, 37% now
  19. 60′We said Chelsea U18 at 87%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–29–36
  20. 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Ipswich Town U18 win is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Chelsea U18 win 36%)
  21. 65′We said Chelsea U18 at 87%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 0–1 · 28–31–41
  22. 66′Chelsea U18 score on 66′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 58–31–11
  23. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Chelsea U18 win: 87% at kick-off, 27% now
  24. 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Chelsea U18 1–1 Ipswich Town U18
  25. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Chelsea U18 win: 87% at kick-off, 58% now
  26. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Chelsea U18 win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Ipswich Town U18 win 42%)
  27. 70′Chelsea U18 find the net on 70′. 2–1. 2–1 · 89–9–1
  28. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Chelsea U18 2–1 Ipswich Town U18
  29. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Chelsea U18 win: 87% at kick-off, 89% now
  30. 88′A goal for Chelsea U18 on 87′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  31. 88′We published Chelsea U18 at 87%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  32. 88′⚽ GOAL · 87' Chelsea U18 3–1 Ipswich Town U18
  33. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Chelsea U18 win: 87% at kick-off, over 99% now
  34. FTFULL TIME Chelsea U18 4–1 Ipswich Town U18
  35. FTChelsea U18 4–1 Ipswich Town U18 · Chelsea U18 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 4–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Chelsea U18 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Chelsea U18 87%, draw 7%, Ipswich Town U18 6%. Over 2.5 goals 92%, both teams to score 70%.

The AI’s read on Chelsea U18 v Ipswich Town U18Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Chelsea U18 win87%
Draw7%
Ipswich Town U18 win6%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 11:30

RoundSouth

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Chelsea U18

Ipswich Town U18

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · U18 Premier League - South

Last match: 17 Oct · U18 Premier League - South

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Chelsea U188+2018
9Ipswich Town U187−49

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · chelsea u18 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
87% The market–
Us87%

We make Chelsea U18 an 87% chance to win. The model expects 4.5–1.3, and 4–1 is the single most likely score at 6%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Chelsea U18 v Ipswich Town U184.49 – 1.27
Form · last six in U18 Premier League - South this season · since 22 AugW5 D0 L1 · W3 D0 L3
Table places · points 18 v 91 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Chelsea U18 win87%––
Draw7%––
Ipswich Town U18 win6%––
Over 2.5 goals92%––
Both teams to score70%––
Over 1.5 goals97%––
Over 3.5 goals81%––
Chelsea U18 or draw94%––
Chelsea U18 clean sheet29%––
Ipswich Town U18 clean sheet1%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 4–1 at 6.4%
0123450 1 2 3.4 4.2 2.7 3 4.8 6.0 3.8 4 5.2 6.4 4.1 5 4.6 5.6 3.5
under 2% 5% 12%+Chelsea U18 down, Ipswich Town U18 across0–5 goals a side shown (70.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.52 of 2
Both scored0 of 2
Last meetingsCHE 5–0 IPS · IPS 0–3 CHE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in U18 Premier League - South this season · since 22 Aug

CHELSEA U18

WLWWWW6–1 · 3–4 · 5–1 · 5–0 · 3–0 · 5–3

IPSWICH TOWN U18

WWWLLL3–1 · 6–2 · 3–0 · 1–4 · 0–3 · 2–6

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Chelsea U188+2018
2Tottenham Hotspur U187+2316
3Fulham U187+1015
4Arsenal U187+513
5West Ham United U187+213
6Brighton U187−113
7Southampton U187+812
8Brentford U187+312
9Ipswich Town U187−49
10Aston Villa U187+18
11AFC Bournemouth U187−78
12Crystal Palace U187−27
13West Bromwich Albion U187−117
14Norwich City U187−106
15Reading U188−194
16Birmingham City U187−183

The competition's standings before kick-off.