AFC Bournemouth U18 v Norwich City U18 prediction · U18 Premier League

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 13:56

AFC Bournemouth U18 1–0 Norwich City U18 NORWICH CITY U18 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Norwich City U18 win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.569

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 10 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Norwich City U18 win at 42%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Norwich City U18 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 40–18–42
1′KICK-OFF AFC Bournemouth U18 v Norwich City U18
45′HALF-TIME AFC Bournemouth U18 0–0 Norwich City U18
46′SECOND HALF AFC Bournemouth U18 0–0 Norwich City U18
55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 5.1 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 34–31–35
64′AFC Bournemouth U18 find the net on 64′. 1–0. 1–0 · 68–22–10
64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Norwich City U18 win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Norwich City U18 win 32%)
64′⚽ GOAL · 64' AFC Bournemouth U18 1–0 Norwich City U18
64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Norwich City U18 win: 42% at kick-off, 10% now
64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' AFC Bournemouth U18 win is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Draw 22%)
65′We said Norwich City U18 at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 1–0 · 68–22–10
66′We said Norwich City U18 at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 69–22–9
77′We said Norwich City U18 at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–0 · 77–19–4
81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Norwich City U18 win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
FTFULL TIME AFC Bournemouth U18 1–0 Norwich City U18
FTAFC Bournemouth U18 1–0 Norwich City U18 · Norwich City U18 win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Norwich City U18 just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: AFC Bournemouth U18 40%, draw 18%, Norwich City U18 42%. Over 2.5 goals 88%, both teams to score 84%.

The AI’s read on AFC Bournemouth U18 v Norwich City U18Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

AFC Bournemouth U18 win40%

Draw18%

Norwich City U18 win42%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 11:00

RoundSouth

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

AFC Bournemouth U18

Norwich City U18

28Days since last match28

Last match: 19 Sept · U18 Premier League - South

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Norwich City U18	6	−9	6
13	AFC Bournemouth U18	6	−8	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · norwich city u18 winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Norwich City U18 a 42% chance to win. The model expects 2.5–2.6, and 2–2 is the single most likely score at 6%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · AFC Bournemouth U18 v Norwich City U18~~2.51 – 2.59

~~Form · U18 Premier League - South this season · since 15 Aug~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 5 v 6~~13 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
AFC Bournemouth U18 win	40%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Norwich City U18 win	42%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	88%	–	–
Both teams to score	84%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	96%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	74%	–	–
AFC Bournemouth U18 or draw	58%	–	–
AFC Bournemouth U18 clean sheet	8%	–	–
Norwich City U18 clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–2 at 6.2%

0123450 2.2 1 4.0 5.1 4.3 2.8 2 2.1 5.0 6.2 5.2 3.4 3 4.1 5.1 4.3 2.8 4 2.6 3.3 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+AFC Bournemouth U18 down, Norwich City U18 across0–5 goals a side shown (89.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 886 U18 Premier League - South matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: U18 Premier League - South matches have gone over 2.5 in 85.7% of games this season, across 49 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

AFC Bournemouth U18 at home: 3.33 scored, 3.00 conceded a game (last 3). Norwich City U18 away: 2.33 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.51 goals for AFC Bournemouth U18, 2.59 for Norwich City U18. Most likely score 2–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · U18 Premier League - South this season · since 15 Aug

AFC BOURNEMOUTH U18

DWLDLL2–2 · 7–4 · 2–6 · 2–2 · 1–3 · 0–5

NORWICH CITY U18

WLLLWL3–2 · 1–6 · 4–7 · 0–2 · 4–0 · 1–5

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tottenham Hotspur U18	6	+24	16
2	Chelsea U18	7	+18	15
3	Southampton U18	6	+9	12
4	Fulham U18	6	+8	12
5	Arsenal U18	6	+4	10
6	West Ham United U18	6	+1	10
7	Brighton U18	6	−2	10
8	Brentford U18	6	0	9
9	Ipswich Town U18	6	0	9
10	Aston Villa U18	6	+2	8
11	West Bromwich Albion U18	6	−9	7
12	Norwich City U18	6	−9	6
13	AFC Bournemouth U18	6	−8	5
14	Crystal Palace U18	6	−6	4
15	Reading U18	7	−16	4
16	Birmingham City U18	6	−16	3