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Home › Football › U18 Premier League - North › Stoke City U18 v Everton U18

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Stoke City U18 v Everton U18

Stoke City U18
3–1Full time
Everton U18

U18 Premier League - North · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 13:56
Stoke City U18 3–1 Everton U18 EVERTON U18 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Everton U18 win51%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.791

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 12 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Everton U18 win at 51%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Everton U18 was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 30–19–51
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Stoke City U18 v Everton U18
  4. 41′Stoke City U18 find the net on 41′. 1–0. 1–0 · 56–24–20
  5. 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Stoke City U18 1–0 Everton U18
  6. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Everton U18 win: 51% at kick-off, 20% now
  7. 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Stoke City U18 win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Everton U18 win 20%)
  8. 42′We said Everton U18 at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 57–24–19
  9. 44′A goal for Stoke City U18 on 44′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 81–12–6
  10. 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Stoke City U18 2–0 Everton U18
  11. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Everton U18 win: 51% at kick-off, 6% now
  12. 45′We said Everton U18 at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 2–0 · 82–12–6
  13. 45′Goals are coming at about the 4.1 we expected. 2–0 · 82–12–6
  14. 45′HALF-TIME Stoke City U18 2–0 Everton U18
  15. 46′SECOND HALF Stoke City U18 2–0 Everton U18
  16. 47′Stoke City U18 score on 47′ to make it 3–0. 3–0 · 94–4–1
  17. 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Stoke City U18 3–0 Everton U18
  18. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Everton U18 win: 51% at kick-off, 1% now
  19. 48′We said Everton U18 at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 3–0 · 95–4–1
  20. 73′Everton U18 find the net on 73′. 3–1. 3–1 · 94–5–1
  21. 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Stoke City U18 3–1 Everton U18
  22. FTFULL TIME Stoke City U18 3–1 Everton U18
  23. FTStoke City U18 3–1 Everton U18 · Everton U18 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Everton U18 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Stoke City U18 30%, draw 19%, Everton U18 51%. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 73%.

The AI’s read on Stoke City U18 v Everton U18Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Stoke City U18 win30%
Draw19%
Everton U18 win51%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 11:00

RoundNorth

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Stoke City U18

Everton U18

28Days since last match28

Last match: 19 Sept · U18 Premier League - North

Last match: 19 Sept · U18 Premier League - North

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
9Everton U185−16
12Stoke City U186−74

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · everton u18 winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
51% The market–
Us51%

We make Everton U18 a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–2.3, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Stoke City U18 v Everton U181.74 – 2.32
Form · U18 Premier League - North this season · since 15 AugW1 D1 L4 · W2 D0 L3
Table places · points 4 v 612 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Stoke City U18 win30%––
Draw19%––
Everton U18 win51%––
Over 2.5 goals76%––
Both teams to score73%––
Over 1.5 goals90%––
Over 3.5 goals57%––
Stoke City U18 or draw49%––
Stoke City U18 clean sheet10%––
Everton U18 clean sheet18%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.9%
0123450 4.6 4.7 3.6 2.1 1 3.6 6.5 7.9 6.0 3.5 2 2.7 6.0 6.7 5.2 3.0 3 3.5 3.9 3.0 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Stoke City U18 down, Everton U18 across0–5 goals a side shown (95.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting3.80
Over 2.59 of 10
Both scored8 of 10
Last meetingsEVE 2–3 STO · STO 3–5 EVE · STO 2–1 EVE · EVE 2–1 STO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · U18 Premier League - North this season · since 15 Aug

STOKE CITY U18

WLLLLD1–0 · 2–3 · 1–3 · 5–8 · 0–2 · 2–2

EVERTON U18

WLLWL6–1 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 4–0 · 0–6

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Manchester City U186+1818
2Newcastle United U186+1215
3Manchester United U185+1512
4Nottingham Forest U185+1110
5Liverpool U185+38
6Burnley U186+28
7Middlesbrough U186−18
8Derby County U186−37
9Everton U185−16
10Leeds United U185−86
11Blackburn Rovers U185−156
12Stoke City U186−74
13Leicester City U184−52
14Sunderland U183−61
15Wolves U185−150

The competition's standings before kick-off.