Manchester United U18 v Liverpool U18 prediction · U18 Premier League

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:04

Manchester United U18 6–3 Liverpool U18 MANCHESTER UNITED U18 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT3–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Manchester United U18 win~~80%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.059

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay19 notes · 17 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Manchester United U18 win at 80%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Manchester United U18 80% before kick-off, 80% now. 0–0 · 80–11–9
1′KICK-OFF Manchester United U18 v Liverpool U18
6′A goal for Manchester United U18 on 6′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 90–6–3
6′⚽ GOAL · 6' Manchester United U18 1–0 Liverpool U18
6′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 6' Manchester United U18 win: 80% at kick-off, 90% now
34′We said Manchester United U18 at 80% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 2–0 · 97–3–1
34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Manchester United U18 2–0 Liverpool U18
35′34′: N. Ajayi on the scoresheet for Manchester United U18, making it 2–0. 2–0 · 97–3–1
36′The goal count is tracking the 4.9 we expected. 2–0 · 97–3–1
38′Manchester United U18 find the net on 38′. 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Manchester United U18 3–0 Liverpool U18
39′Manchester United U18 ahead on 37′ through J. Camacho. 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
45′HALF-TIME Manchester United U18 3–0 Liverpool U18
46′SECOND HALF Manchester United U18 3–0 Liverpool U18
51′We said Manchester United U18 at 80% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Manchester United U18 win: 80% at kick-off, over 99% now
55′A goal for Liverpool U18 on 55′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 97–2–0
55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Manchester United U18 3–1 Liverpool U18
73′Liverpool U18 score on 73′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 89–10–1
73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Manchester United U18 3–2 Liverpool U18
73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Manchester United U18 win: 80% at kick-off, 89% now
74′5 goals already, more than the 4.9 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 89–10–1
77′Manchester United U18 find the net on 76′. 4–2. 4–2 · 99–1–0
77′That is 6, and we only asked for 4.9 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 99–1–0
77′⚽ GOAL · 76' Manchester United U18 4–2 Liverpool U18
82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Manchester United U18 win: 80% at kick-off, over 99% now
83′A goal for Manchester United U18 on 83′ — 5–2. 5–2 · 100–0–0
83′7 goals already, more than the 4.9 we expected for the whole match. 5–2 · 100–0–0
83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Manchester United U18 5–2 Liverpool U18
91′Liverpool U18 score on 90′ to make it 5–3. 5–3 · 100–0–0
91′That is 8, and we only asked for 4.9 across ninety minutes. 5–3 · 100–0–0
91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Manchester United U18 5–3 Liverpool U18
93′Manchester United U18 find the net on 90′. 6–3. 6–3 · 100–0–0
93′9 goals already, more than the 4.9 we expected for the whole match. 6–3 · 100–0–0
93′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Manchester United U18 6–3 Liverpool U18
FTFULL TIME Manchester United U18 6–3 Liverpool U18
FTManchester United U18 6–3 Liverpool U18 · Manchester United U18 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 3–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Manchester United U18 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Manchester United U18 80%, draw 10%, Liverpool U18 9%. Over 2.5 goals 86%, both teams to score 69%.

The AI’s read on Manchester United U18 v Liverpool U18Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Manchester United U18 win80%

Draw10%

Liverpool U18 win9%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 11:00

RoundNorth

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Manchester United U18

Liverpool U18

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · U18 Premier League - North

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Manchester United U18	6	+15	13
6	Liverpool U18	6	+3	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · manchester united u18 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

80% The market–

Us80%

We make Manchester United U18 an 80% chance to win. The model expects 3.7–1.3, and 3–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Manchester United U18 v Liverpool U18~~3.66 – 1.25

~~Form · U18 Premier League - North this season · since 15 Aug~~W4 D1 L1 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 13 v 9~~3 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Manchester United U18 win	80%	–	–
Draw	10%	–	–
Liverpool U18 win	9%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	86%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	95%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	71%	–	–
Manchester United U18 or draw	91%	–	–
Manchester United U18 clean sheet	29%	–	–
Liverpool U18 clean sheet	3%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–1 at 7.2%

0123450 1 3.1 3.3 2.2 2 5.0 6.1 3.9 3 6.0 7.2 4.5 4 5.4 6.5 4.1 5 4.0 4.8 3.0

under 2% 5% 12%+Manchester United U18 down, Liverpool U18 across0–5 goals a side shown (82.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 872 U18 Premier League - North matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: U18 Premier League - North matches have gone over 2.5 in 82.6% of games this season, across 46 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 6.10 goals a meeting; 9 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Manchester United U18 at home: 3.50 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Liverpool U18 away: 2.67 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.66 goals for Manchester United U18, 1.25 for Liverpool U18. Most likely score 3–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~6.10

~~Over 2.5~~9 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~MAN 4–1 LIV · LIV 0–7 MAN · LIV 2–2 MAN · MAN 2–0 LIV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · U18 Premier League - North this season · since 15 Aug

MANCHESTER UNITED U18

LWWWWD0–1 · 3–0 · 5–0 · 2–0 · 6–0 · 1–1

LIVERPOOL U18

LDWWDD1–2 · 2–2 · 4–2 · 4–2 · 3–3 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Manchester City U18	6	+18	18
2	Newcastle United U18	7	+15	18
3	Manchester United U18	6	+15	13
4	Nottingham Forest U18	6	+11	11
5	Derby County U18	7	−2	10
6	Liverpool U18	6	+3	9
7	Leeds United U18	6	−6	9
8	Burnley U18	7	−1	8
9	Middlesbrough U18	7	−3	8
10	Stoke City U18	7	−5	7
11	Everton U18	6	−3	6
12	Blackburn Rovers U18	6	−16	6
13	Sunderland U18	4	−5	4
14	Leicester City U18	5	−5	3
15	Wolves U18	6	−16	0